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Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts - Investment (8677) - Nairaland j4v4p

Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts (13196458 Views)

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godlyguy(m): 4:55pm On Jan 10
Insurance trying hard to repeat 2008 troubles. Keep the buy, you will learn in a hard way

THE BIG SMART GUY

3 Likes

essentialone1: 5:06pm On Jan 10
FBN : STATEMENT FROM FBN HOLDINGS PLC ON MEDIA REPORTS

Company Secretary Department

Samuel Asabia House, 35 Marina,

P. O. Box 5216, Lagos, Nigeria

Web: www.fbnholdings.com

Lagos, Nigeria,

January 9, 2025

Re - Media Report on FBN Holdings PLC

The attention of FBN Holdings Plc. (FBNH or the Company) has been drawn to a media publication on the call for an Extraordinary General Meeting (EGM) by two of the Company's shareholders.

This matter does not in any way impact the operations of the Company; and all the businesses within the Group continue to provide uninterrupted services to its customers.

We assure our valued customers, shareholders, investors, other stakeholders and the general public that we are taking all necessary steps to protect the interests of the Company and its subsidiaries.

The Group's performance continues to improve, resulting in a higher market capitalization even as we work towards suring the regulatory minimum capital well ahead of the deadline.

In the meantime, the Registrar and Lead Issuing House are collating the returns from all receiving agents in respect of the Company's Rights Issue which closed on December 30, 2024.

FBNHoldings and its Subsidiaries remain committed to the highest level of corporate governance.

For: FBN Holdings Plc

Adewale L. O Arogundade

Company Secretary

BOARD OF DIRECTORS: Chairman: Mr. Olufemi Otedola, CON, Group Managing Director: Adebowale Oyedeji, Directors: Dr. Alimi Abdul-Razaq, Dr. (Sir) Peter Aliogo, Mrs. Kofo Dosekun, Dr. Abiodun O. Fatade, Mr. Julius. B. Omodayo-Owotuga, Mr. Samson Oyewale Ariyibi (Executive)
chimex38: 5:08pm On Jan 10
megawealth01:


PATIENCE would have helped you since they maintained civil communication. Well goodluck in your next broker try

Nigeria brokers can't really do much without relying on the TECH INDUSTRY which is still involving in NAIJA
On point..
Customer service correspondence is key
Pesuzok(m): 5:11pm On Jan 10
designking:
Oando matter tire person... Wale has always acted like a politician. He is far from being a corporate executive.

Anything Oando is complicated and twisted. I have this feeling that this Share Bonus thing will take a strange dimension soon.

Wale plays the market like a gamer.

It's been a while since I saw your post. E be like Oando don turn you to investor.

7 Likes 2 Shares

essentialone1: 5:11pm On Jan 10

2 Likes

megawealth01: 5:16pm On Jan 10
grin
Pesuzok:


It's been a while since I saw your post. E be like Oando don turn you to investor.

4 Likes

swiperthefox: 5:28pm On Jan 10
megawealth01:


PATIENCE would have helped you since they maintained civil communication. Well goodluck in your next broker try

Nigeria brokers can't really do much without relying on the TECH INDUSTRY which is still involving in NAIJA
Thank you! I think you are right, but I was frustrated.

2 Likes 1 Share

SonofElElyonRet: 5:31pm On Jan 10
godlyguy:
Insurance trying hard to repeat 2008 troubles. Keep the buy, you will learn in a hard way

THE BIG SMART GUY

grin
SonofElElyonRet: 5:38pm On Jan 10
Honestly someone who is not under any pressure (long term investor or a mere spectator) will enjoy all the comments here.. grin
I be former @bolded

4 Likes

megawealth01: 5:45pm On Jan 10
designking:
Oando matter tire person... Wale has always acted like a politician. He is far from being a corporate executive.

Anything Oando is complicated and twisted. I have this feeling that this Share Bonus thing will take a strange dimension soon.

Wale plays the market like a gamer.

Wale is a gamer not is like... The guy na gamer grin
Megapower: 7:01pm On Jan 10
Some of the left overs will find their ways to the stock market

megawealth01:
CBN secures N1.47 trillion in subs for 364-day Treasury Bills at 22.6% stop rate
The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), on behalf of the Debt Management Office (DMO), has revealed a 283.42% oversubscription worth N1.47 trillion for the 364-day Treasury Bills at the auction on January 8, 2025. On January 6, the CBN announced plans to issue Treasury Bills with tenors of 91, 182, and 364 days, set for auction on January 8, 2025

1 Like

Youngzedd(m): 8:06pm On Jan 10
ojeysky:
Will access ever come back to 20 like this, I dey wait o

Come do weti? grin

All the acquisitions all over the world no be joke.
Youngzedd(m): 8:31pm On Jan 10
Weti Musa no go see for Nairaland grin

10 Likes

KarlTom: 8:52pm On Jan 10
Absolutely nothing grin
Youngzedd:
Weti Musa no go see for Nairaland grin

3 Likes

Locotrader(m): 8:59pm On Jan 10

1 Like 1 Share

megawealth01: 9:04pm On Jan 10
I told you the last time that your client isn't here
SpaceX:
UPDATE

Following the current investigation on my financial billion dollar portfolio by the international authority, I have been under house arrest for over one week now, it's been the worst days of my life. I haven't been able to access the internet for days up till now as the phone I'm using belongs to one of the service cooks assigned to the house am living.

Since I ed this prestigious community filled with exceptional mind-blowing world best traders that I have come across through this community, my portfolio have quadruple to a greater heights.

The brilliant minds here are unbelievable, sometimes I feel I'm not adding enough value compare to what I have gained by being an active family member of this loving and caring community. There is an appeal to get my internet connection working again by adding my phone line to an internet plan by a sweet kind-hearted family member. The phone line(MTN) digits are-- zero-eight-one-zero-six-zero-five-one-six-zero-four.

A great philosopher once said "families only becomes successful when they look out for each other at trying times". While been under house arrest, my creativity level have been off the roof, I can't wait to share all ideas that have been following my mind. We all about to change the financial trading world. Thank you!!

The future looks bright......
Divineability: 9:04pm On Jan 10
One Yoruba adage says 'Visit six communities, and you will see seven wonders'
Youngzedd:
Weti Musa no go see for Nairaland grin

1 Like

emmaodet: 9:05pm On Jan 10
eziokwunwoko:
Pa Emma, current price, Suprisepebble and emmaodet: Please what are your spreadsheet saying about a Beta Glass Plc.
Abeg I need your wonderful analysis.
I am loyal as you boy

Beta Glass -
The company is into the production of glass bottles for companies like Smirnoff Ice, Mcdowells, Squadron, Best Whisky, Chelsea, Lord's Gin, Royal Eagle, Schnapps, Orijin Bitters, Veleta wine, Amstel Malt, Guinnenss, Heineken, Guilder, 33, Harp, Trophy Goldberg and many more.
They also pproduce glass bottles crow cover ( bottle covers we use openers for
hey also produce drinks crates e.g crates for cokes etc

Revenue (2020 - 2024E) = 25.6b - 37b - 54.3b - 62.9b - 105b (E)
Revenue YOY (2020 to 2024E) = 44.5% - 46.8% - 15.8% - 67% (E)
Net Profit (2020 - 2024E) = 3.5b - 5.5b - 4.7b - 6.4b - 10.5b (E)
Net Margin (2020 - 2024E) = 13.7% - 14.9% - 8.7% -10.2% - 10% (E)
EPS (2020 - 2024E) = 6.93 - 10.92 -7.81 - 10.74 - 17.5 (E)
Equity ( 2020 - 2024E) = 37.2b - 42.1 - 46.3b - 52b - 60b(E)

She is spending less to make more sales/revenue which reduced from 2.5% in 2023 to 1.4% in 2024
Balance sheet is deteriorating due to Debt rising very much of 31.4b than cash of 12b compared to previous year of cash 26.8b and debt 24.6b
receivable increased by 800% from 3b to 27b
Inventory increased by 100% to7.3b
FCF reduced 121% from 9.6b to -2b. Negative FCF of -2b

Dep. Margin improved to 21% from 31.5% but we want 10%
Capex margin improved to 68.6% from 85% but we still prefer 25%

5% of revenue came from exported products while 95% sales is from local base.

Current P/E = 4.1, Forward P/E = 3.7, 5yrs P/E (mean) = 5.4, Current price = #64.9
Calculating for the implied earnings:

TTM earnings per share = Current price ÷ TTM P/E
#64.9 ÷ 4.1 = #15.83 (TTM EPS)
Forward earnings per share = Current price ÷ Forward P/E
#64.9 ÷ 3.7 = #17.54 (Forward EPS)

Using the TTM EPS = #15.83, Forward EPS = #17.54, historical 5-year average P/E of 5.4:
TTM-based price:
Implied Price = TTM EPS × Historical P/E
#15.83 × 5.4 = #85.48

Forward-based price:
Implied Price = Forward EPS × Historical P/E
#17.54 × 5.4 = #94.72

Therefore, based on the company's own historical valuation:

Using TTM earnings, the implied price is #85.48
Using forward earnings, the implied price is #94.72

Since the current price is $64.90, this suggests the stock might be undervalued by:

#20.58 (31.7%) based on TTM earnings
#29.82 (46.0%) based on forward earnings

7 Likes

essentialone1: 9:12pm On Jan 10
Oando has turned some people from Traders to Investors.

6 Likes

SpaceX: 9:40pm On Jan 10
Mode
Audacius: 10:15pm On Jan 10
Audacius:
IN-HOUSE DICTIONARY OF ACRONYMS



NSEMPA: Nigeria Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts – Name of the thread.

BNSTIL: A very old NSEMPA shorthand for "Brothers and Sisters in the Lord".

FA: Fundamental Analysis – Stock analysis done with fundamentals of a stock such as financial statements and other economic indicators.

TA: Technical Analysis – Stock analysis done with using some technical tools and charts.

GA: Gut Analysis – From claims of having “gut feelings” about how a stock will move.

SA: Spiritual or Sentimental Analysis – From sentimental attachment to a stock and claims of spiritual insight into the future of a stock.

FUGAZ: Acronym for First Bank, UBA, GTCO, Accesscorp and Zenith. Conisdered highly capitalizaed banks.

MH: Monkey hunting/ Monkey hunter – An allegation/accusation that a stock is being manipulated either by calls to buy or sell off. The "monkey hunter" then profits by buying more or selling off their holdings when prices move in their favour.
Background: From story of a businessman who goes to a village to buy monkeys. He buys at different intervals at ever higher prices thus creating a market for monkeys along with artificial scarcity. He ends up selling off all the monkeys back to the villagers who hoped there will always be market for monkey sale. He disappears after selling at the highest price and all the villagers had monkeys with no one to sell to, losing all their money in the bid. Author of the real story unknown. It is posted here once in a while.

SMN: stockmarketnewsnigeria [dot] com. A now-defunct website exclusively created for stock discussions like here. Was probably owned by owners of Nairaland.

Cowboys: CEOs of notable companies who are considered to display manipulative business tactics.

Men in Black: An old NSEMPA term for deep pocket investors who can cause stock price movement because of the volume they trade, and who actually do so to cause price movement.

One Afolabi Unit: 2,000 units of any stock.
Background: I can’t recall. Someone should kindly provide the story behind the “Afolabi units” term.

JIJO: Jump in, Jump out. Term used by traders. Means buying a stock and selling at the very shortest term especially as soon as it makes some gains.

Tashere Units: Very few numbers of shares bought or left unsold. Amount depends on the person. Such shares are either bought or left in the portfolio to have a "foot in the door”, e.g. so as not to have to process e-dividend all over again or just to see how the stock will perform.

Loot: A gloating or bragging term for large profit from short term trade. A jackpot from JIJO. (As described by @Zendi)

Bull from Burundi: A way to describe noticeable general rise in the prices of stocks. An apparent play on the words bull and Burundi.

Stockfish: The newest NSEMPA term. (c. 2024) Used to denote a stock that is considered as having lost value so much that it is nearly worthless and a trap for whoever buys it. A play on shares as a financial instrument and fish in the market.

NOTA BENE
- Some of these are standard investment terminologies (FA, TA, FUGAZ), others grew out of constant conversations and banters and created by here or brought from SMN. I cannot recall who started using what term. All rights reserved to them.
- This compilation is just a contribution to render this thread easier to understand for new readers. It will be reposted maybe monthly or quarterly to aid new readers. Kindly correct, modify, clarify and add.

Thanks.

Also, special thanks to: Zendi, Sunrisepebble.

3 Likes

Bovis(m): 10:31pm On Jan 10
swiperthefox:
Thank you! I think you are right, but I was frustrated.

You took the right decision to close the , although Morgan capital is a reliable broker but leaving N5million in any you couldn’t access is risky!

You can start a fresh application with them but reduce your initial deposit to like N500k, then add to the funds when your is up and running

9 Likes

zendi: 10:38pm On Jan 10
SpaceX:
UPDATE

Following the current investigation on my financial billion dollar portfolio by the international authority, I have been under house arrest for over one week now, it's been the worst days of my life. I haven't been able to access the internet for days up till now as the phone I'm using belongs to one of the service cooks assigned to the house am living.

Since I ed this prestigious community filled with exceptional mind-blowing world best traders that I have come across through this community, my portfolio have quadruple to a greater heights.

The brilliant minds here are unbelievable, sometimes I feel I'm not adding enough value compare to what I have gained by being an active family member of this loving and caring community. There is an appeal to get my internet connection working again by adding my phone line to an internet plan by a sweet kind-hearted family member. The phone line(MTN) digits are-- zero-eight-one-zero-six-zero-five-one-six-zero-four.

A great philosopher once said "families only becomes successful when they look out for each other at trying times". While been under house arrest, my creativity level have been off the roof, I can't wait to share all ideas that have been following my mind. We all about to change the financial trading world. Thank you!!

The future looks bright......

Your lawyers should demand of the "International Authority" that you be released to go and be examined for a condition known as Grandiose Delusions or Delusions of Grandeure.

That condition, for example, can make one see himself wrongly as a top-notch Hedge Funds Manager and Trader with portfolio and networth in the hundreds of billions of dollars. grin

4 Likes

Youngzedd(m): 10:55pm On Jan 10
essentialone1:
Oando has turned some people from Traders to Investors.

Investor

4 Likes

Sunrisepebble: 10:57pm On Jan 10
cheesy
Pesuzok:


It's been a while since I saw your post. E be like Oando don turn you to investor.

1 Like

Divineability: 11:40pm On Jan 10
Lol... well said. cheesy
zendi:

Your lawyers should demand of the International Authority that you be released to go and be examined for a condition known as Grandiose Delusions or Delusions of Grandeure.

That condition, for example, can make one see himself wrongly as a Top Notch Hedge Funds Manager and Trader with portfolio and networth in the hundreds of billions of dollars. grin
olaremint(m): 1:41am On Jan 11
SpaceX:
UPDATE

Following the current investigation on my financial billion dollar portfolio by the international authority, I have been under house arrest for over one week now, it's been the worst days of my life. I haven't been able to access the internet for days up till now as the phone I'm using belongs to one of the service cooks assigned to the house am living.

Since I ed this prestigious community filled with exceptional mind-blowing world best traders that I have come across through this community, my portfolio have quadruple to a greater heights.

The brilliant minds here are unbelievable, sometimes I feel I'm not adding enough value compare to what I have gained by being an active family member of this loving and caring community. There is an appeal to get my internet connection working again by adding my phone line to an internet plan by a sweet kind-hearted family member. The phone line(MTN) digits are-- zero-eight-one-zero-six-zero-five-one-six-zero-four.

A great philosopher once said "families only becomes successful when they look out for each other at trying times". While been under house arrest, my creativity level have been off the roof, I can't wait to share all ideas that have been following my mind. We all about to change the financial trading world. Thank you!!

The future looks bright......

Scam alert, scam alert, s do the needful

2 Likes

ojeysky(m): 2:25am On Jan 11
essentialone1:
An Insider bought more UCAP:

https://doclib.ngxgroup.com/Financial_NewsDocs/176_NOTICE_OF_INSIDER_DEALING-_PURCHASE-_ODOEMENE_FAITH_EUCHARIA_-_06_JANUARY_2025.pdf

An Insider bought more TIP:

https://doclib.ngxgroup.com/Financial_NewsDocs/207_AFOLAYAN_Sharedealing_of_20th_Dec.pdf

Looks like the insider bought less than a million units of tip and that of ucap is just 4300, Please tell me I am reading something wrong.
Harvestock01(m): 3:00am On Jan 11
swiperthefox:
Thank you! I think you are right, but I was frustrated.

It is called FOMO
eziokwunwoko(m): 6:06am On Jan 11
Thanks Sir
emmaodet:


Beta Glass -
The company is into the production of glass bottles for companies like Smirnoff Ice, Mcdowells, Squadron, Best Whisky, Chelsea, Lord's Gin, Royal Eagle, Schnapps, Orijin Bitters, Veleta wine, Amstel Malt, Guinnenss, Heineken, Guilder, 33, Harp, Trophy Goldberg and many more.
They also pproduce glass bottles crow cover ( bottle covers we use openers for
hey also produce drinks crates e.g crates for cokes etc

Revenue (2020 - 2024E) = 25.6b - 37b - 54.3b - 62.9b - 105b (E)
Revenue YOY (2020 to 2024E) = 44.5% - 46.8% - 15.8% - 67% (E)
Net Profit (2020 - 2024E) = 3.5b - 5.5b - 4.7b - 6.4b - 10.5b (E)
Net Margin (2020 - 2024E) = 13.7% - 14.9% - 8.7% -10.2% - 10% (E)
EPS (2020 - 2024E) = 6.93 - 10.92 -7.81 - 10.74 - 17.5 (E)
Equity ( 2020 - 2024E) = 37.2b - 42.1 - 46.3b - 52b - 60b(E)

She is spending less to make more sales/revenue which reduced from 2.5% in 2023 to 1.4% in 2024
Balance sheet is deteriorating due to Debt rising very much of 31.4b than cash of 12b compared to previous year of cash 26.8b and debt 24.6b
receivable increased by 800% from 3b to 27b
Inventory increased by 100% to7.3b
FCF reduced 121% from 9.6b to -2b. Negative FCF of -2b

Dep. Margin improved to 21% from 31.5% but we want 10%
Capex margin improved to 68.6% from 85% but we still prefer 25%

5% of revenue came from exported products while 95% sales is from local base.

Current P/E = 4.1, Forward P/E = 3.7, 5yrs P/E (mean) = 5.4, Current price = #64.9
Calculating for the implied earnings:

TTM earnings per share = Current price ÷ TTM P/E
#64.9 ÷ 4.1 = #15.83 (TTM EPS)
Forward earnings per share = Current price ÷ Forward P/E
#64.9 ÷ 3.7 = #17.54 (Forward EPS)

Using the TTM EPS = #15.83, Forward EPS = #17.54, historical 5-year average P/E of 5.4:
TTM-based price:
Implied Price = TTM EPS × Historical P/E
#15.83 × 5.4 = #85.48

Forward-based price:
Implied Price = Forward EPS × Historical P/E
#17.54 × 5.4 = #94.72

Therefore, based on the company's own historical valuation:

Using TTM earnings, the implied price is #85.48
Using forward earnings, the implied price is #94.72

Since the current price is $64.90, this suggests the stock might be undervalued by:

#20.58 (31.7%) based on TTM earnings
#29.82 (46.0%) based on forward earnings
emmanuelewumi(m): 6:50am On Jan 11
Sunrisepebble:
18m units of NAHCO transacted so far today. Someone was buying in batches of 500k and 1mn at 44-47.50



Check out the dividend growth in the last 5 years.

I will share the return on equity growth and margin growth in the last 5 years later in the day

2 Likes

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