| russy1: 8:52am On May 22 |
Davigle:
## Executive Summary
Over the past week (May 15–22, 2025), a series of geopolitical developments have emerged across the Middle East, Europe, East Asia, and the United States. Heightened tensions in Iran’s nuclear negotiations, signals of potential Israeli military action, and renewed U.S.–Iran discord have kept safe-haven bids elevated. In Europe, direct Russia–Ukraine talks yielded no ceasefire, while Kyiv pressed the EU for tougher sanctions and Western allies warned of Russian cyber campaigns targeting vital infrastructure. In East Asia, Taiwan braced for further Chinese drills even as it bolstered its defenses, and North Korea conducted air drills and publicly condemned a recent warship accident. Domestically, the U.S. grappled with a contentious tax and spending bill tied to a \$4 trillion debt-limit increase amid Moody’s downgrade of the U.S. sovereign rating. Collectively, these events have exerted downside pressure on the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) and underpinned gold’s rally toward multi-week highs.
## Key Geopolitical Events
### Middle East: Iran Nuclear Talks & Israeli Tensions
Iran’s indirect nuclear negotiations with the U.S. in Rome faced significant headwinds as Tehran warned that talks will fail if Washington insists on a total halt to uranium enrichment ([Reuters][1], [The Washington Post][2]). Despite agreeing to a fifth round of discussions on May 23, Iranian negotiators remain defiant, with Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei decrying U.S. demands as “excessive and outrageous” ([Reuters][3]). Concurrently, intelligence reports cited by Reuters and CNN indicate Israel is preparing to strike Iranian nuclear facilities, adding a military-escalation to risk assets ([Reuters][4]). These developments have prodded investors toward traditional safe havens, with gold prices climbing and DXY weakening as concerns over Middle East stability intensify.
### Europe & Russia-Ukraine: Diplomacy, Sanctions, & Cyber Operations
Kyiv and Moscow held their first direct peace talks in over three years on May 16 but failed to secure any ceasefire, with Russia presenting deemed “non-starters” by Ukrainian sources ([Reuters][5]). In response, Ukraine urged the EU to adopt a tougher sanctions regime as U.S. appeared to waver under a Republican-led Congress ([Reuters][6]). At the same time, the U.K. and its allies, including the U.S., , and , issued a t advisory on May 21 warning of a Russian military-intelligence cyber campaign targeting organizations that Ukraine—extending to critical Western logistics and infrastructure ([Reuters][7]). This blend of military stalemate, sanction threats, and cyber-warfare risks has heightened European political risk, exerting downward pressure on the dollar’s safe-asset allure and bolstering gold demand.
### East Asia: China-Taiwan Tensions & North Korea Tests
Tensions in the Taiwan Strait remained elevated as President Lai Ching-te rallied Taiwanese troops on May 16 ahead of potential Chinese drills, following last month’s “Strait Thunder-2025A” exercises ([Reuters][8], [Reuters][9]). While Lai reiterated willingness for peaceful dialogue, the prospect of renewed Chinese military drills underscores persistent regional flashpoints. North Korea also displayed its military readiness, with Kim Jong Un overseeing air drills and publicly condemning a recent warship accident as “criminal” on May 22 ([Reuters][10], [Reuters][11]). These developments in East Asia have fueled “flight-to-quality” flows, weighing on regional currencies and equities while ing gold’s safe-haven status and contributing to a softer DXY.
### United States: Fiscal Policy & Credit Downgrade
In Washington, House Republicans advanced former President Trump’s tax-and-spending bill—projected to add \$3.8 trillion to the deficit and raise the debt ceiling by \$4 trillion—through pre-dawn votes on May 21–22, despite internal party rifts ([Reuters][12], [Reuters][13]). This fiscal expansion package, coupled with delays in securing bipartisan , spurred Moody’s to downgrade the U.S. sovereign credit rating from Aaa to Aa1 on May 16, citing unsustainable debt trajectories ([Reuters][14], [Reuters][15]). The downgrade and ongoing debt-ceiling brinkmanship have eroded confidence in “Brand USA,” weakening the U.S. dollar and amplifying safe-haven flows into gold.
## Impact Analysis
### Implications for the DXY
Recent U.S. fiscal uncertainties—marked by Moody’s downgrade and debt-limit battles—have weighed on the U.S. Dollar Index, which fell to a two-week low below 99.50 on May 22 ([Reuters][16]). Concurrent global risk drivers, including Middle East tensions over Iran and potential Israeli strikes, as well as European cyber-threat advisories, have further dented dollar demand. Analysts note the DXY’s weekly decline of over 1% reflects both U.S. policy doubts and shifting “Brand USA” sentiment, with Asia pivoting away from dollar holdings amid broader geopolitical stress ([FXStreet][17]). A sustained break below key technical levels around 99.50 could open the door to a retest of the 99.00 zone, contingent on evolving U.S. fiscal outcomes and fresh geopolitical shocks.
### Implications for Gold
Gold has outperformed this week, with spot bullion rising toward \$3,336/oz by May 22—a two-week high—driven by debt-ceiling fears, a weaker dollar, and Middle East risk ([Reuters][18]). Iran’s nuclear ime and Israeli strike intel have added a political risk , while Russia-Ukraine stalemate and cyber-attacks have reinforced gold’s role as a crisis hedge. The Moody’s downgrade delivered an additional bullish tailwind, as yield-sensitive investors shifted away from Treasuries and dollar-denominated assets. Technical analysts view the \$3,300–3,310/oz zone as a key base; a decisive break above could pave the way toward \$3,400+, especially if U.S. political gridlock persists and geopolitical hotspots flare anew.
## Outlook & Trading Considerations
* **U.S. Fiscal Developments**: Monitor Congressional progress on the tax-and-spending bill and any Supreme Court or legislative interventions. A failure to debt-limit legislation by late May could trigger a market sell-off, further pressuring DXY and lifting gold.
* **Iran Negotiations**: Watch outcomes of the Rome talks on May 23. A collapse or Israeli military action would likely spark sharp gold rallies and weaken the dollar.
* **Russia-Ukraine**: Assess EU and U.S. sanction decisions. New sanctions or cyber-attack escalations could drive incremental safe-haven flows.
* **East Asia Flashpoints**: Stay alert for Chinese drills around Taiwan or further North Korean tests. Any escalation would boost gold and undermine regional currencies.
* **Technical Levels**: For DXY, breaches of 99.50 and 99.00 are pivotal. In gold, \$3,300–3,310 is critical ; \$3,400 and \$3,450 are next resistances.
Traders should remain nimble, hedging positions ahead of key geopolitical events and U.S. fiscal deadlines. Combining technical analysis with real-time geopolitical monitoring will be essential to navigate potential volatility spikes in both the DXY and gold markets.
[1]: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/iran-says-nuclear-talks-will-fail-if-us-pushes-zero-enrichment-2025-05-19/?utm_source=chatgpt.com "Iran says nuclear talks will fail if US pushes for zero enrichment"
[2]: https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2025/05/21/iran-nuclear-talks-uranium-enrichment/?utm_source=chatgpt.com "Iranian officials warn nuclear talks in peril without uranium compromise"
[3]: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/iran-reviewing-proposal-5th-round-nuclear-talks-2025-05-20/?utm_source=chatgpt.com "Iran's Khamenei slams 'outrageous' US demands in nuclear talks"
[4]: https://www.reuters.com/world/india/gold-hits-one-week-high-weaker-dollar-us-fiscal-concerns-2025-05-21/?utm_source=chatgpt.com "Weaker dollar, geopolitical uncertainty push gold to one-week high"
[5]: https://www.reuters.com/world/russia-ukraine-hold-first-direct-peace-talks-over-3-years-2025-05-16/?utm_source=chatgpt.com "Ukraine calls on allies to keep pressure on Russia after talks yield ..."
[6]: https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/ukraine-ask-eu-lead-russia-sanctions-us-wavers-2025-05-21/?utm_source=chatgpt.com "Exclusive: Ukraine pitches tougher Russia sanctions plan to EU as US wavers"
[7]: https://www.reuters.com/world/uk-allies-warn-russian-cyber-activity-targeting--ukraine-2025-05-21/?utm_source=chatgpt.com "UK and allies warn of Russian cyber activity targeting to Ukraine"
[8]: https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/taiwan-president-rallies-troops-ahead-possible-chinese-drills-2025-05-16/?utm_source=chatgpt.com "Taiwan president rallies the troops ahead of possible Chinese drills"
[9]: https://www.reuters.com/world/china/anniversary-taking-office-taiwan-president-reiterates-willingness-talk-china-2025-05-20/?utm_source=chatgpt.com "Taiwan president pledges peace with China but says island must strengthen defences"
[10]: https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/north-koreas-kim-oversees-air-drills-2025-05-16/?utm_source=chatgpt.com "North Korea's Kim Jong Un oversees air drills, calls for stepped-up ..."
[11]: https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/north-korean-leader-kim-jong-un-condemns-warship-accident-kcna-says-2025-05-22/?utm_source=chatgpt.com "North Korean leader Kim Jong Un condemns warship accident as 'criminal'"
[12]: https://www.reuters.com/world/us/trump-tax-cut-bill-faces-rare-overnight-stress-test-with-us-house-republicans-2025-05-21/?utm_source=chatgpt.com "Johnson says House could vote on Trump's tax and spending bill Wednesday"
[13]: https://www.reuters.com/world/us/us-house-republicans-set-pre-dawn-votes-get-trump-tax-bill-over-finish-line-2025-05-22/?utm_source=chatgpt.com "US House Republicans set pre-dawn votes to get Trump tax bill over finish line"
[14]: https://www.reuters.com/video/watch/idRW497717052025RP1/?chan=business&utm_source=chatgpt.com "Moody's pushes US out of top triple-A rating club, citing debt - Reuters"
[15]: https://www.reuters.com/business/us-stock-futures-slide-moodys-cuts-countrys-sovereign-credit-rating-2025-05-19/?utm_source=chatgpt.com "Wall Street stocks finish flat with sentiment weakened by Moody's downgrade"
[16]: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/dollar-swoons-fiscal-worries-bitcoin-extends-record-rally-2025-05-22/?utm_source=chatgpt.com "Dollar swoons on fiscal worries, bitcoin extends record rally"
[17]: https://www.fxstreet.com/currencies/us-dollar-index?utm_source=chatgpt.com "US Dollar Index (DXY) Forecast, News and Analysis - FXStreet"
[18]: https://www.reuters.com/world/india/gold-hits-two-week-high-investors-grow-cautious-amid-us-debt-fears-2025-05-22/?utm_source=chatgpt.com "Gold hits two-week high as investors cautious on US debt concerns"
THANK U
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| russy1: 8:54am On May 22 |
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| Kaybee7000(m): 9:01am On May 22 |
infofirst:
Na why I hum o. When we reach 200 pages, we get a competition. 10k reward ftmo prop acct for 3 people. 10k funded next for 2 people by God grace. It might be more depending on the spirit and how every dey go by then. But that will be minimum reward. Only active member will participate.
No fake pages.
FTA na our origin. Telegram na back up.
One must not affect the other. We will continue to run both but FTA must not collapse as long as Nairaland still dey.
Something cooking ,longest time boss and @everyone,how hustling na
3 Likes 1 Share |
| samfelly: 9:27am On May 22 |
zedegit:
Baba samfelly when oga infofirst go do challenge?
Abeg tell me.
infofirst:
Na why I hum o. When we reach 200 pages, we get a competition. 10k reward ftmo prop acct for 3 people. 10k funded next for 2 people by God grace. It might be more depending on the spirit and how every dey go by then. But that will be minimum reward. Only active member will participate.
No fake pages.
FTA na our origin. Telegram na back up.
One must not affect the other. We will continue to run both but FTA must not collapse as long as Nairaland still dey.
VeeVeeMyLuv
Niceguy24
EFGH
AK284
Fxwarrior
Lanshile
5 Likes |
| Ebus03(m): 10:44am On May 22 |
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Markets are not predictable, but they are structured. You can't know what will happen, but you can stack probabilities in your favor by trading where the big players operate.
If FX were truly random, banks and hedge funds wouldn’t pour billions into data models, algorithms, and analysis. But they do — because edges exist, just not where most people look.
2 Likes 1 Share 
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| Arkadrob(m): 11:06am On May 22 |
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EURUSD she's indeed a dutiful soul, slipping back home at 1:12711. Once her confluences align, and every thread of fate is woven tight, we’ll set our sights to the moon, and graciously ride towards it.
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| Fxwarrior: 11:52am On May 22 |
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Top motivational quotes for Forex trading
These trading phrases are sure to motivate and empower you to change your life as a trader for the better.
“There is a time to go long, a time to go short and a time to go fishing.” – Jesse Livermore
Patience and discipline are essential traits that a trader must possess. They are necessary for traders not to make impulsive decisions that can lead to losses. This trading motivation quote emphasizes the importance of waiting for the right opportunities to present themselves.
“You never know what kind of setup the market will present to you, your objective should be to find an opportunity where risk-reward ratio is best.” – Jaymin Shah
Risk management is critical in trading. Traders should always aim for a risk-reward ratio that suits their trading strategy. By minimizing risk and maximizing potential returns, traders have a chance to achieve long-term success.
“No man ever reached to excellence in any art or profession without having ed through the slow and painful process of study and preparation.” – Mark Douglas
Preparation is key to success in any field, and trading is no exception. Traders must be willing to put in the time and effort to plan their trading day. The ever-changing market conditions keep even top traders on their toes and push them to prepare carefully before placing an order.
“The most important investment you can make is in yourself.” – Warren Buffett
Education is essential in trading. Traders should always be learning and improving their skills. The market is constantly changing, and traders must adapt to those changes. The more traders learn, the more they can refine their trading strategies and take advantage of them.
5-min.png
“The single most important reason that people lose money in the financial markets is that they don’t cut their losses short.” – Victor Sperandeo
Traders quite often hold on to losing positions for too long, hoping that the market will turn in their favour. Unfortunately, this strategy can lead to even greater losses. Traders must be willing to cut their losses and move on from losing trades. This can be difficult, as it requires itting that you were wrong and taking a financial loss.
“Never invest in any idea you can’t illustrate with a crayon.” – Peter Lynch
This trading quote seems amusing, however true. It should remind every trader that a trading plan should be simple, as there are more chances that something will go wrong with the complex ideas.
A clear trading idea is easier to apply via convenient and -friendly trading apps like MetaTrader 4 or MetaTrader 5.
“A peak performance trader is totally committed to being the best and doing whatever it takes to be the best. He feels totally responsible for whatever happens and thus can learn from mistakes. These people typically have a working business plan for trading because they treat trading as a business.” – Van K. Tharp
This trading quote highlights the importance of having a well-defined trading plan. Traders who approach trading in a business-like manner are more likely to reach their goals over the long term. Having a plan is essential for developing consistency in trading results and avoiding emotional decisions.
“My peculiarity is that I don't have a particular style of investing or, more exactly, I try to change my style to fit the conditions.” – George Soros
A flexible approach to trading emphasizes the importance of adapting to ever-changing market conditions. Traders who can adjust their trading style to fit different market environments are more likely to achieve recognition. This requires a deep understanding of market dynamics and a willingness to learn and evolve as a trader.
Look up fresh trade ideas and strategies to benefit from the market in Trading Ideas.
“Patterns don't work 100% of the time. But they are still critical because they help you define your risk. If you ignore patterns and focus on hunches, feelings, and hot tips, just forget about achieving consistency.” – Ifan Wei
Patterns are an essential tool. By focusing on patterns and using them to define risk, traders can develop a more disciplined and systematic approach to trading.
“Trading is very competitive and you have to be able to handle getting your butt kicked.” – Paul Tudor Jones
You always have to be prepared for losses and setbacks, as they are an inevitable part of trading. You have to stay resilient and persevere. Traders who can bounce back from failures and stay focused on their goals are more likely to be successful over time. It takes time and effort to develop an appropriate trading strategy, and setbacks are a normal part of the process.
7 Likes 2 Shares |
| Eaglepixel: 11:54am On May 22 |
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My sell in may and walk away slogan is wrong after all BTC have broken 110 100
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| samfelly: 11:56am On May 22 |
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Gold is ready now to go downtown, 2828
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| jueezyjaey(m): 12:09pm On May 22 |
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Trading idea
According to my bias I think usd/cad should start selling when it gets to 1.39001.
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| infofirst(m): 12:38pm On May 22 |
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[quote author=Kaesyrn post=135449339][/quote]
😩😩😩
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| LofP(m): 12:43pm On May 22 |
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Can Gold go lower ?
After filling the gap it hit resistance around the 335x level and slipped all the way to 328x.
Someone on this thread used the SMC)FVG theory to identify the probability of Bears controlling Gold prices in the short term.
Will a return to 318x be feasible? Probably.
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| BinaryRocks: 2:01pm On May 22 |
Alexas58:
Lemme ad something
Discipline and risk management must be learnt!
This is not a game where you try to teach people everything.
Let everyone play with their lot sizes
So more people will go out fast.
What matters the most is daily breach and max draw down!
Boss I sent you DM on telegram.
Thanks.
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| BinaryRocks: 2:07pm On May 22 |
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Any Boss to help me with a nostro prop of 2500.
I don't have an currently.
Abeg.
I don hunt tire for giveaways but no luck.
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| CaptainJune: 2:16pm On May 22 |
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My GN hit stoploss after I failed to set it to breakeven. Your entry strategy may make the pips but your exit strategy keeps it.
1 Like |
| samfelly: 2:20pm On May 22 |
Skanas:
If you observe wella, The set rules of the last competition (Situp or stay out) looked beyond the prizes, it actually tried to groom disciplined traders, which is the goal in the long run. If you run this one devoid of strict rules, hmmmm all man go begin gamble ooo
You are not far from the truth. It was even on that ground that Infofirst asked, last year, what's the ideal lot size I'll recommend for $10K and ma answer was, I guess, not satisfactory enough, cos he pushed for 0.01 lot. Imagine that  .
And I ed Gabsonfx2 saying, ko le work . And I leaned towards what Gabson said then. But, since I started seeing 0.02 lot vomiting huge profits on a short run, recently, I kinda want to accept Infofirst's opinion (see attached, just under 1 month) enjoy the conversations, below
infofirst:
What lot size and how many positions will you recommend for a 10k challenge ?
samfelly:
On a 10k ? 0.06 (wit XU in mind), sir 🙈
Single position 😉
infofirst:
🤔
If you are to trade a $10k prop challenge and can only trade 0.01lot (10cents per tick) one position max at a time. And can only trade gold, Dax, dow, ndx, oil. How long will it take you to hit 8%?
Is it a waste of time or something that is truly the way to go?
Click each monikers below to see the responses;
GabsonFX2:
Complete waste of time.
You would need market to . . .
infofirst:
Thanks for the response. The thought came in an attempt to see how best to crack the risk mgt shit. Folks are losing big time and . . .
seeteazain:
4 months
Luada:
I hope you are aware that . . .
GabsonFX2:
A profitable trader targeting . . .
infofirst:
. . . And all these you have stated is at a high level that you are. Let's bring it down to the level of a struggling trader . . .
friendbee:
Yes o, the small traders will appreciate these little drops till . . .
Luada:
Psychology is the last thing after you have developed an edge . . .
BinaryRocks:
I should be able to hit 8% between 3 to 4 months.
I'm ready for personal evaluation Boss. 
samfelly:
It will, indeed, take 2 years (in with Gabsonfx2's point). Then we go add Anger Management sessions am
2 Likes 1 Share 
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| LincolnOnyeabor: 2:25pm On May 22 |
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Omo!
Usdcad sell no way, Gbpaud buys left without me, had conflicting biases on selling Us30 and Ger 30.
Woooo, I've closed shop for the week jhare.
See you all next week By the Grace of God.
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| JasonNOTStatham: 3:45pm On May 22 |
BinaryRocks:
Any Boss to help me with a nostro prop of 2500.
I don't have an currently.
Abeg.
I don hunt tire for giveaways but no luck.
$9.99 for 5K a different firm though.
$12-17 (Mavin or GFT). Bigger size than 2.5K, maybe you upgrade later (payout)
$5 on a 50:50 split, sure leverage funding 5K .
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| Fxwarrior: 3:57pm On May 22 |
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Patience
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| Pipsmarshall1: 4:08pm On May 22 |
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I'm HIM of Gold Trading.
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| samfelly: 4:38pm On May 22 |
Pipsmarshall1:
I'm HIM of Gold Trading.
Omo, this strategy legit o. Abeg, share the MAs values, mbok. Thanks 😊
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| stony247: 4:39pm On May 22 |
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EUR/AUD-sell
TP=open
SL=1.76290
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| Pipsmarshall1: 5:00pm On May 22 |
samfelly:
Omo, this strategy legit o. Abeg, share the MAs values, mbok. Thanks 😊
The black lines are my entry, breaks becomes resistance and resistance breaks becomes . 4hr candle to hold or fold. Enjoy. Reward is 2R.
Simple strategy but hard to follow, once you can fully trust your strategy as a tool for trading, you are HIM. But you have to accept you cannot have it all and control greed( life is harsh if you are not careful)
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| Donsheddy: 5:06pm On May 22 |
samfelly:
Omo, this strategy legit o. Abeg, share the MAs values, mbok. Thanks 😊
Are you funded!!??
How many percent do you think is ideal to risk per trade
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| russy1: 5:11pm On May 22 |
BinaryRocks:
Any Boss to help me with a nostro prop of 2500.
I don't have an currently.
Abeg.
I don hunt tire for giveaways but no luck.
BinaryRocks:
Any Boss to help me with a nostro prop of 2500.
I don't have an currently.
Abeg.
I don hunt tire for giveaways but no luck.
Let me help you with 50% of the fund, use NOSTRO50, for purchase you come down tp 11$.
All the best.
2 Likes 1 Share |
| Kaesyrn(m): 5:40pm On May 22 |
Kaesyrn:
What new traders think profitable trading looks like:
Monday: +$400
Tuesday: +$400
Wednesday: +$400
Thursday: +$400
Friday: +$400
What profitable trading really looks like:
Monday: +$4000
Tuesday: -$800
Wednesday: -$800
Thursday: Stayed in cash
Friday: No trades
3 Likes 3 Shares |
| samfelly: 6:32pm On May 22 |
Pipsmarshall1:
The black lines are my entry, breaks becomes resistance and resistance breaks becomes . 4hr candle to hold or fold. Enjoy. Reward is 2R.
Simple strategy but hard to follow, once you can fully trust your strategy as a tool for trading, you are HIM. But you have to accept you cannot have it all and control greed( life is harsh if you are not careful)
Correct.
But what are those 3 Moving Average there? What are the numbers?
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| samfelly: 8:07pm On May 22 |
Donsheddy:
Are you funded!!??
How many percent do you think is ideal to risk per trade
What's the size o?
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| Donsheddy: 8:28pm On May 22 |
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| LincolnOnyeabor: 9:38pm On May 22 |
russy1:
Let me help you with 50% of the fund, use NOSTRO50, for purchase you come down tp 11$.
All the best.
God Richly Bless your soul for this boss.
2 Likes |
| LincolnOnyeabor: 9:39pm On May 22 |
To all my Swingers in the House and my boss geedot himself, I've still got eyes on AudUsd.
What are you bosses seeing on it 
I really think it will drop some massive pops for us.
What do you guys see I'm looking for an entry to short it.
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| BinaryRocks: 11:34pm On May 22 |
russy1:
Let me help you with 50% of the fund, use NOSTRO50, for purchase you come down tp 11$.
All the best.
Thanks Boss.
I will let you know when I get the remaining 50%.
God bless you.
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