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Between Prosperity And Pain: Jonathan, Tinubu, And The Price Of Reform (299 Views)
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DrMB: 5:57pm On Apr 26 |
Two leaders. Two economic teams. One nation caught in the crossfire. Goodluck Jonathan promised steady growth. Bola Tinubu promised painful reforms. Today, Nigerians are living the results — in rising prices, vanishing jobs, and fragile hopes. Who truly served the people, and who left them behind? Let’s find out. A Country at the Crossroads It always starts the same way. A struggling economy. A desperate populace. A promise of change. But what happens when two different presidents, facing two different eras, pick two different economic teams — and the fate of 200 million Nigerians hangs in the balance? Today, we peel back the curtain on Goodluck Jonathan’s and Bola Tinubu’s economic strategies — not with broad strokes, but with surgical precision. Who managed Nigeria’s fragile hopes better? And who left the people gasping for air? The Architects Behind the Curtain: Economic Teams At first glance, both Jonathan and Tinubu seemed to gather heavyweight teams — but dig deeper, and the differences are stark. Jonathan’s Economic Team (2010–2015): The dream duo: Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala, the no-nonsense former World Bank Managing Director. Sanusi Lamido Sanusi, the Central Bank reformer who stared down banking cartels. With a 24-member Economic Management Team (EMT) that included ministers from Planning, Trade, Petroleum — Jonathan assembled a team that spoke the language of global finance fluently. Tinubu’s Economic Team (2023–Present): The homegrown technocrats: Wale Edun, seasoned banker, Finance Minister. Olayemi Cardoso, Central Bank chief with Citibank Nigeria in his résumé. His 31-member Presidential Economic Coordination Council (PECC) even pulled in tycoons like Aliko Dangote — but notably, leaned more on domestic banking experience than Jonathan’s internationally seasoned team. They both built teams. But would technical expertise be enough when the floodwaters rose? The Big Numbers: Macroeconomic Performance GDP Growth Jonathan’s Nigeria clocked ~6% growth (2010–2014), hitting a staggering 8.0% in 2010. Tinubu’s Nigeria, in contrast, limps at ~3% in 2024–2025 — with non-oil sectors like services pulling the weight. Inflation Jonathan: Hovered around 10% average, a manageable beast. Tinubu: Inflation ballooned to ~25% by 2025 — thanks to brutal fuel subsidy removals and a wounded naira. Exchange Rate Jonathan: 150–199 NGN/USD — stable as a rock, thanks to relentless Central Bank interventions. Tinubu: ~1,613 NGN/USD — the naira battered by "exchange rate unification" reforms. Jonathan’s team kept the economy’s heart beating steadily. Tinubu’s team ripped off the bandages — and Nigeria started bleeding. Life on the Streets: Quality of Life Impacts Enter Fatima, a teacher from Kaduna. In 2013, under Jonathan, she watched SURE-P (Subsidy Reinvestment and Empowerment Programme) fund new roads leading to her village. She could reach work faster. Maternity clinics popped up. Sure, insecurity from Boko Haram gnawed at daily life — but there was progress. Fast-forward to 2025: Fatima spends half her salary on transport, the rest eaten by skyrocketing food prices. The road is still there — but now she wonders whether she can afford to travel on it at all. Meanwhile, Emeka, an entrepreneur in Lagos, dreams of expanding his import business. But the naira collapse under Tinubu means importing spare parts costs double what it did last year. His dreams shrink alongside his profit margins. Jonathan’s policies gave a taste of progress. Tinubu’s reforms brought promises — but not yet relief. Beyond the Leaders: Contextual Headwinds It would be unfair to ignore the tides they both faced. Jonathan’s Era: Rode the golden wave of $100+ oil prices... until the crash of 2014. Fought Boko Haram insurgency and battled reputation-destroying corruption scandals. Tinubu’s Era: Inherited a battered economy with $113 billion debt and only ~$4 billion in reserves. A world economy slowing to 3.2% growth — and oil prices, while decent, not spectacular. Was Jonathan lucky and Tinubu cursed? Or did leadership amplify — or squander — the cards they were dealt? Infrastructure and Investments: Brick by Brick Under Jonathan: The clattering of resurrected railway lines echoed across the north and south. The privatized power sector flickered with hope. Roads, maternity wards, youth job programs — small wins multiplied. Under Tinubu: Fiscal reforms dominate headlines. Talk of subsidies, taxes, and naira floating — but no major new infrastructure in sight. The street lights remain dark. The potholes deepen. When you turn on your light switch tonight, ask yourself: Which leader made that flicker possible? The Verdict: Past Glory, Future Gamble Jonathan’s Economic Team: ✅ Delivered higher GDP growth. ✅ Kept inflation moderate. ✅ Stabilized the exchange rate. ✅ Invested visibly in infrastructure. ❌ Hobbled by corruption and worsening security. Tinubu’s Economic Team: ✅ Took courageous steps — subsidy removal, exchange rate liberalization. ✅ Betting on long-term gain after short-term pain. ❌ Immediate suffering skyrocketed. ❌ Inflation, poverty, and public frustration boiled over. The Bridge or the Fire? Jonathan’s Nigeria felt like a bridge — creaky, imperfect, but leading somewhere better. Tinubu’s Nigeria feels like a fire — burning old structures in hopes of rebuilding anew. Progress is a fragile thing. Will Nigeria walk safely across the bridge Jonathan started building? Or will it endure the fire Tinubu has lit — and emerge stronger from the ashes? Only time will tell. But today, the scales still tilt towards the bridge we once had — even if it swayed. Noteworthy: History judges leaders not just by the fires they ignite, but by the futures they build from the ashes. Nigeria stands at a crossroads once again — will we mourn the past, survive the present, or dare to forge a future worthy of our dreams? The answer isn’t written yet. It’s being lived. Related Topics: Defect To APC Or Die: New Political Survival Game Of Silencing The Opposion https://nairaland.unblockandhide.com/8409556/defect-apc-die-new-political Nigeria’s Political Opposition Parties Drowning In Storms, Hoping For 2027 https://nairaland.unblockandhide.com/8408976/nigerias-political-opposition-parties-drowning Bola Tinubu & Javier Milei Inherited Bad Economies But Only One Is Crawling Out https://nairaland.unblockandhide.com/8407578/bola-tinubu-javier-milei-inherited DR. MELCHISEDEC BANKOLE 1 Like |
Wealthoptulent(m): 6:03pm On Apr 26 |
DrMB: only GOODTHING SAID all is @ BOLDED... the REST na ANALYSIS wey be JARGONS (professional only understood by it EXPATriate)... make una leave mathematics |
Ritchiee: 6:21pm On Apr 26 |
Fake GDP that had Okonjo Iweala borrowing money to pay workers in 2014. They have eaten Nigeria to the bone even before the arrival of Buhari. With Nigeria making more than 2 million barrels per day and oil selling as much as 120 to 150 dollars,there was no development,strikes everywhere,unemployment etc were the order of the day after the exodus of Obasanjo. Leadership is the problem of Nigeria. 2 Likes 2 Shares |
helinues: 6:23pm On Apr 26 |
This op is actually a good writer Respect 1 Like |
Magnetic010: 7:00pm On Apr 26 |
Good write up but trust defenders of this rrgime to come up with counter write up soon
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jaydenparkin4: 2:49pm On May 21 |
Economic reforms often walk a tightrope between progress and public hardship. We've seen this during Jonathan's istration and now with Tinubu’s policies. The long-term goal may be prosperity, but the immediate impact is usually painful. This reminded me of how thoughtful design balances cost, space, and function—something P+P Architects do well. Their projects, like this stylish basement home (https://pplusparchitects.com/portfolio/contemporary-house-with-basement-modern-home-design-basement-living-space-stylish-home-with-underground-space-contemporary-architecture-features-basement-conversion-ideas-l/), reflect smart, sustainable design choices despite constraints. Reforms, like architecture, need balance to truly work.
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KillahPriest: 3:07pm On May 21 |
Bankole as expected, refused to juxtapose insecurity and corruption indices between the two regimes ![]() If you talk, they'll mention Dieziani but I've dared them since 2015 to charge that lady before an open court lets know who the real thieves are and when you talk about insecurity nko ? Traveling interstate was never preceded by days of intense prayers and fasting but now, fulani terrorists host live shows in the bush on tiktok. The difference is clear and even Bamidele knows that Jonathan's era was pure heaven on earth compared to what average Nigerians are facing today where children are permanently at home because parents just can't afford sending them to school talk more of feeding them (forget properly). The hunger outside should worry many of you internet warriors, most of us have completely muted WhatsApp and ignore messages from people we even love because the load and requests are too much to handle. We should tell ourselves the truth and implement solutions quickly before water garri. My hand no dey o ![]() 1 Like |
surgical: 3:07pm On May 21 |
Tinubu does not understand how economy works Reasons he is unable to profer solutions The only area he is good at is politics, which is just ing money and power to gain more power or advantages It is clear with the defections and the hardship in the land |
surgical: 3:08pm On May 21 |
Tinubu does not understand how the economy works
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DrMB: 7:28am On May 23 |
surgical:Interesting |
ruzell86: 9:15am On May 23 |
Ritchiee:..then what happened to the promise of flesh (change) since the arrival of Buhari and thereafter ? Mind you, some WAEC students are currently writing their exams with torchlight as we speak, whereas we could atleast afford fuel for lanterns during our days. Truly, only time will tell... |
DrMB: 6:44am On May 26 |
helinues:Thanks |
agulion: 6:51am On May 26 |
helinues:. Is that all you can say! Anyway comparing GEJ reforms to The so called Tinubu reforms is like comparing a good business man with a skull miner |
Racoon(m): 12:26pm On May 28 |
The era of good economic fortune for Nigeria was destroyed once the APC came on board. It is ridiculously stupid to compare Jonathan to Tinubu a protege of the disastrous Buhari.
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