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Surplus to Scarcity: How Obasanjo Built Nigeria's Reserves and the APC Drain it (859 Views)
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fastseo: 7:32pm On Aug 25, 2024 |
The importance of foreign reserve to any nations should not be overstated. In fact it helps nation to be able to maintain exchange rate and price stability and also meet any external obligations etc. OBJ assumed leadership in May 1 1999. Despite inheriting just 4.99 billion from the military regim on May 1999, obasanjo never complained but he remained focused and by 2006 the foreign reserve jumped to USD38.07 billion as at July 31, 2006 Source: https://dc.cbn.gov.ng/bullion/vol30/iss3/6/ Note oil price as at May 1999 was just $13.92 per barrel And by the end of December 2006 the reserve increased to US$42.42 billion while oil prices was $55 to $56 per barrel-source:https://www.cbn.gov.ng/monetarypolicy/Conduct/2007.asp#:~:text=As%20at%20November%202007%2C%20the,of%20current%20foreign%20exchange%20disbursements And by November 2007 the reserve grew to US$50.0 billion while oil price was between 50+ to $85 source: https://www.cbn.gov.ng/monetarypolicy/Conduct/2007.asp#:~:text=As%20at%20November%202007%2C%20the,of%20current%20foreign%20exchange%20disbursements. And by July 2008 the reserve was standing at US$62.40 billion and David & Baba went on further to opined that this made Nigeria the twenty-fourth largest reserves holder in the world. https://hdl.handle.net/10419/142051 Oil price was between 100 but fell to basat December. Data for oil priceshttps://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=pet&s=f000000__3&f=m Obasanjo regime thought it wise to start saving for the raining day by opening an excess crude in 2005 and by 2008 the savings in the was 20 billion dollars In 2005 October 2005 Nigeria and the Paris Club announced a final agreement for debt relief worth $18 billion source:https://www.cgdev.org/page/debt-relief-nigeria Note that obasanjo regime successfully paid over 12 billion dollars before this debt was forgiven Source:https://www.cgdev.org/blog/nigeria-unloads-paris-club-debt-what-next#:~:text=On%20April%2021%20Nigeria%20made,%2C%20an%20overall%2060%25%20discount This means that as at 2008 Nigeria had over 62.40 billion dollars achieved within 9 years. How much could Nigeria have saved assuming we continued with same trajectory? With a more conservative approach, reducing the growth rate given the economic and global factors, Nigeria's foreign reserves could have reached approximately $245 billion to over $300 billion by 2024. And the current party has been in power for 9 years and couldn't increase the reserve rather they deplated it to 32 billion dollars. 1 Like |
trutharena: 7:34pm On Aug 25, 2024 |
The analysis is spot on.
12 Likes |
Ennyjude(f): 7:41pm On Aug 25, 2024 |
Una don see am
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Odua4life: 7:46pm On Aug 25, 2024 |
..
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Afonjatijati(f): 7:50pm On Aug 25, 2024 |
Nigeria missed something when GEJ was stopped from removing subsidy and subsequently rigged out. Nigeria was about to become a regional super power like India and Brazil. The West knew it that was why they desperately backed criminals Buhari and Tinubu to do their dirty work and rewarded them till date. After we missed that, Japa became a thing. The Naira NEVER went up Fuel price NEVER went down 20 year old cars became very expensive. Boys used to buy clean 10 year old cars for less than N1.5m back then. Any time I think of this, I shed tears. 2 Likes |
Salewa97: 8:34pm On Aug 25, 2024 |
Toh This na something something 12 Likes |
Atuero(m): 8:47pm On Aug 25, 2024 |
Salewa97: Is that your last answer |
huptin(m): 9:39pm On Aug 25, 2024 |
Obasanjo is a genius...this Tinubu is a disaster the fact that both of them are from the same region where Obasanjo is hated by some people and Tinubu is worshipped by the same set of people shows how deeply senseless people can be
4 Likes 2 Shares |
Anither563: 10:18pm On Aug 25, 2024 |
The foreign reserve is built not just by saving but also by earning through exports and prudent management of the economy. The APC istration met a huge debt and still worked to build the reserves.
11 Likes 1 Share |
Praxis758: 2:59am On Aug 26, 2024 |
Because OBJ had erudite financial experts as finance ministers (Adamu Ciroma, 1999 - 2003 & Okonjo Iweala, 2003 - 2006) GEJ too has good economist as his finance minister but you can’t point to any of the finance ministers under Buhari as a knowledgeable people in elementary economics. Moreso, the Excess Crude and NLNG opened we by OBJ engineered those speedy growth in our foreign reserve and currency stability. 2 Likes |
surgical: 5:17am On Aug 26, 2024 |
Anither563:is it that you Don know how to read or just blindly ing |
shivisee: 5:33am On Aug 26, 2024 |
Most obi ers are brain dead people!
1 Like |
Rooomage: 5:43am On Aug 26, 2024 |
shivisee: Honestly! There is no point engaging them. It is better to allow them to wallow in their stupidity. 1 Like |
fastseo: 7:57am On Aug 26, 2024 |
Rooomage: I decided not to include articles from newspapers rather all data was gotten from CBN and highly reputable sources and academic research paper. PDP under goodluck had it lapses as he allowed the reserve to tank a little probably due to the 2009 global economic meltdown but again the reserve picked up again shortly. Again GEJ also borrowed and total external debt grew to N10.4 trillion as at June 2014. This might be one of the reasons OBJ kicked against his government. But APC took the borrowing and lavishing of the reserve to another level... Today the total external debt is at N56. 02 trillion (US$42.12 billion) 1 Like |
fastseo: 8:09am On Aug 26, 2024 |
Anither563: Nigerian government has been earning more from crude oil export but has failed to grow the reserve. If OBJ could achieve that feet then we expect 5 to 6 billion dollars added to the reserve each year
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OALandAgents: 8:32am On Aug 26, 2024 |
Reserves is not an achievement, it takes not effort or brainpower to allow money to accumulate in a bank doing nothing ![]() Bad governance to be building reserves when your country is lacking in infrastructure; No roads , No Railways Liquidized our national carrier No electricity Rising insecurity across the country. Refineries left to decay Truth is Obasanjo did nothing but loot and scatter in his 8 years. Obasanjo was an unmitigated disaster! 1 Like |
opes: 8:46am On Aug 26, 2024 |
GEJ rather
2 Likes |
Odua4life: 8:54am On Aug 26, 2024 |
Gej is the biggest criminal to ever rule this country. No wonder biafrans love him
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fastseo: 9:10am On Aug 26, 2024 |
OALandAgents: Are you an economist? Who gave you that idea? If there is no savings there will be no investment. Even the ants which are not complex as human understand the importance of savings. They saved foods in summer against winter |
Lamasta(m): 9:12am On Aug 26, 2024 |
APC came to STEAL, KILL and DESTROY ![]() |
OALandAgents: 9:52am On Aug 26, 2024 |
Savings good but first ensure yourself in minimal essential infrastructure amenities
fastseo: |
lastkingsman: 6:31pm On Sep 24, 2024 |
fastseo: |
Shadomaan7: 6:45pm On Sep 24, 2024 |
The topic is about foreign reserve and not about the writer's hate for Obasanjo. Make we face the topic without unnecessary distraction. 11 Likes |
XerXers: 8:38pm On Sep 24, 2024 |
Obasanjo avoided Yorubas in his government. Owambe people only understand borrowing and partying
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Softmirror: 8:43pm On Sep 24, 2024 |
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Softmirror: 8:47pm On Sep 24, 2024 |
XerXers: I am so happy with your point. Why will Obasanjo in his right senses not avoid Yorubas who didn't vote for him? 🤣🤣🤣🤣😁😁 Is it not INSANITY if Tinubu doesn't also avoid the Igbos that didn't vote for him?! |
XerXers: 8:50pm On Sep 24, 2024 |
Softmirror:The question should be why didn't Yoruba vote obi the way Igbos voted Obasanjo. Why do Yorubas clueless people like buhari and Tinubu 2 Likes |
Softmirror: 8:52pm On Sep 24, 2024 |
XerXers: Because the preferred the other Yoruba man Olu Falaye. My own question is why didn't Igbos vote Ojukwu like they voted Obasanjo?! ![]() |
XerXers: 10:01pm On Sep 24, 2024 |
Softmirror:Are you saying that Yoruba are proud tribalist to the detriment of national progress. So it's everybody vote for your tribe? What a backwards people 1 Like |
fastseo: 5:28pm On Sep 25, 2024 |
Softmirror:Yes goodluck lack the will to save although the effect of global economic meltdown of 2008 was felt beyond 2009 to 2010 but this shouldn't be the reason why he failed to save. APC used his inability to save to campaign and rally for vote but here they are doing pretty worst. Killing the economy, impoverishing Nigerians. |
Softmirror: 5:40pm On Sep 25, 2024 |
fastseo: That was why I said I wonder what kind of juju emefile did. |
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