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Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts - Investment (7475) - Nairaland 292k2x

Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts (13136992 Views)

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sonofElElyon: 12:00pm On Jan 13, 2024
Agbalowomeri:


Diversification is for the uninitiated

"The Initiates" have their very own company by the way....
dammybrite: 12:09pm On Jan 13, 2024
The codes and data will be nice to have. Thank you
ositadima1:


The analysis to determine if the proposed merger of 12 units of salt for every 11 units of sugar were reflected in actual market prices. Here are the steps I took:

**I set up a function to represent the proposed ratio of salt to sugar prices: salt = (11/12) x sugar. This allows me to calculate the expected salt price for any given sugar price based on the proposed .

**I then plotted the ratio (11/12 x sugar/salt - 1) x 100 over time. This normalizes the pricing ratio to 0 when the actual prices reflect the proposed .

**I added a red reference line at 0 on the chart, representing perfect accordance with the proposed 11:12 ratio.
The data shows that actual market prices started aligning with the proposed ratio within +/- 5% around the time the merger announcement was made. This suggests the market began pricing in the expected .

**In the second chart I extended the data points back to 2020. Interestingly, there appears to be another pricing relationship from 2020 to 2022-03 of roughly 12 units of salt for every 10 units of sugar. I'm not sure if that is just coincidence.

**I can provide the Python code and data to allow independent verification of my analysis. Please let me know if you would like me to share those.

Conclusion
: The market data suggests traders began pricing salt and sugar based on the proposed merger ratios around the deal announcement. cheesy
Locotrader(m): 1:04pm On Jan 13, 2024
megawealth01:
In all you do please don't invest in only two stocks no matter how promising they are... Learn percentage investment or better still investment by PERCENTAGE...

Have at least 10 fundamentally healthy stocks in your portfolio... E get why!!!

Many of you will this in years to come

That is for you.
I trade in only 1 or 2 stocks and it works very well for me.The loot is always catholic when hammered.

1 Like

ositadima1(m): 1:13pm On Jan 13, 2024

1 Like

shalomblue: 2:13pm On Jan 13, 2024
shalomblue:
Bought Oando at 16 naira some 4 days ago and finding it difficult to get a buyer for 10.70.No one should buy at more than 7 naira.By Oct 10,we gamblers might just get lucky sha

Sold over 90 percent at a loss,then moved to a Tier I Bank shares .Always overcome a bad decision with a good one instead of complaining or whining.

5 Likes

Mpeace(m): 2:29pm On Jan 13, 2024
Locotrader:


That is for you.
I trade in only 1 or 2 stocks and it works very well for me.The loot is always catholic when hammered.
With good "insider info" you can invest in oly one stock and make it big time.

I have been imagining if i had put all my investment in Transcorp when My average was 99kobo, I for done retire by now.

6 Likes

sonofElElyon: 2:52pm On Jan 13, 2024
Mpeace:
With good "insider info" you can invest in oly one stock and make it big time.

I have been imagining if i had put all my investment in Transcorp when My average was 99kobo, I for done retire by now.

Same here... even chams was 30+k at a point.. but you cant say with 100% certainty how things will turn out so makes sense to spread your risks... I'm still thinking of getting one good low priced stock with sound fundamentals and invest heavily... invest only what you are prepared to lose... not house rent.. not medical expenses... not school fees

6 Likes

sonofElElyon: 3:11pm On Jan 13, 2024
If there's a lull in Japaul, don't dull
If there's a dip in tip, then grip
Stretch your neck and monitor Omatek.... "to the moon" like star trek

not financial advice

1 Like

defebe: 3:17pm On Jan 13, 2024
ositadima1:
It is very surprising how data can reveal patterns that validate logical assumptions.

Below is a screenshot showing the percent deviation from the proposed 12 Nascon to 11 DangSugar ratio. You can see how the market has maintained this deviation between +5% and -5% starting in late August, coinciding with the announcement date of August 30th.

Even though the market does not fully agree on the price given its oscillation, it has maintained proportionality close to the announced ratio.

As of yesterday, we have a +4% deviation in favor of Nascon. I can assure you that one of two things will happen next week.

Either Nascon will fall below 60 or DangSugar will break its highest level of 70.

Edited: From the chart, I also noticed that the two stocks were already moving to align before the announcement date. Is this some form of inside trading? Have some people gotten the news before others? grin grin

Which model did you use in making the prediction
Locotrader(m): 3:38pm On Jan 13, 2024
Mpeace:
With good "insider info" you can invest in oly one stock and make it big time.

I have been imagining if i had put all my investment in Transcorp when My average was 99kobo, I for done retire by now.

I am planning to make TIP a 100% portfolio with a target of #3.50 short term and a target of #10 long term.I don't need insider info to achieve it.

1.A growth stock with good prospects.

2.890m O/s with 190m(20%) free float

3.A very defensive stock.

4.Possibility of dividend in future.

5.Possibility of bonus in future.

2 Likes

Locotrader(m): 3:42pm On Jan 13, 2024
sonofElElyon:
If there's a lull in Japaul, don't dull
If there's a dip in tip, then grip
Stretch your neck and monitor Omatek.... "to the moon" like star trek

not financial advice

Make your money in Japaul and invest the loot in TIP and remain there.You will thank me very well sometime in this life

1 Like

seyisanya(m): 4:57pm On Jan 13, 2024
Locotrader:


That is for you.
I trade in only 1 or 2 stocks and it works very well for me.The loot is always catholic when hammered.
Correct provided one has diligently done some deep findings. However, the converse is also true. The loss is always catastrophic when ''unhammered''.

8 Likes 2 Shares

Streetinvestor2: 4:57pm On Jan 13, 2024
Locotrader:


Make your money in Japaul and invest the loot in TIP and remain there.You will thank me very well sometime in this life
why not him stay in japaul since it is mining gold,lol
Streetinvestor2: 5:00pm On Jan 13, 2024
Locotrader:


I am planning to make TIP a 100% portfolio with a target of #3.50 short term and a target of #10 long term.I don't need insider info to achieve it.

1.A growth stock with good prospects.

2.890m O/s with 190m(20%) free float

3.A very defensive stock.

4.Possibility of dividend in future.

5.Possibility of bonus in future.

How is an illiquid stock a defensive stock

1 Like

Locotrader(m): 5:07pm On Jan 13, 2024
Streetinvestor2:
How is an illiquid stock a defensive stock

The answer is in your question.

1 Like

Locotrader(m): 5:15pm On Jan 13, 2024
Streetinvestor2:
why not him stay in japaul since it is mining gold, lol

Mining stocks are always mad when they move.They give a profit of 2 years under 1 month.Ask Multiverse.When they respond, take your loot to another comfortable one.

My target is to be a substantial holder in the Initiates company which can lead to an appointment or contract as the case may be.

3 Likes

sonofElElyon: 5:17pm On Jan 13, 2024
Locotrader:


Make your money in Japaul and invest the loot in TIP and remain there.You will thank me very well sometime in this life
Hmmmm....
MrDiligence: 12:03pm On Jan 14, 2024
Meristem have upgraded their platform

2 Likes

onegentleguy: 12:53pm On Jan 14, 2024
The following was a chat between me and 2 fellows who subscribed to my investment outline/guide late last night.
Had to put this out there so those who might have similar question or thoughts and wish to get some clarification can be guided accordingly.

N:.B: Post was edited to exclude the actual names of the asset as used in the illustration.

1st Subscriber;
Hi Sinclair,
Thanks a lot for the well detailed outline and for all you do and continue to do to help folks like us beat the financial market.
I however noticed that out of the, I believe 18 company's in the outline, about 3--4 are currently trading above the prices you analyzed and recommended. Mind explaining why?
Though am also very content with the over 14 others still within buying range.
Thank you once again!

2nd Subscriber;
Dear OGG,
I have gone through the content and I must say it is overwhelming! While some have moved past your TEP, a lot of value still remains in others. I truly appreciate. 🙏
Thanks for the great details and bonuses.

Me;
Yes it's true that a few of the asset names have gone past their target entry prices (TEPs) but that's because they are not entirely fresh recommendations.
...some were initially recommended at lower prices and those who were privileged to subscribe for the outline/guide much earlier got in at those bargain prices.

To illustrate;

At least 2 of the asset in the have delivered over triple digit % gain from when I launched the outline/guide in late Nov, 2023.
Those who subscribed earlier and bought then must have gotten over 100% ROI on both stocks.

Again, there are other asset names that were previously recommended in my last outline before this one, but still part this one even when they've delivered astronomical returns. Infact 2 of the said coys have delivered a whooping 185 and 440% ROIs for those who bought at the average peg of the range in the previous outline.

And if you're probably wondering why I still included a few of them after they've already delivered great gains, it's because of their technical and fundamental stance. Fundamentally, these select assets are broadly healthy with many pockets of positive prospect (and for some, BU/TD catalyst) that can reproduce further price rise in view of their FVEs.

But based on technicals, price can retrace to the range you now have in your outline before another possible price uptrend, hence, the need for a recommendation at psychological SLs and below their CMPs.
This is a capital protection mechanism that ensures you don't overpay for an asset that has rallied and is already overbought.

For these few set of stocks, it's best to patiently wait for their prices to "come to you and not chase after them."
And if they don't, you can always buy from the many other asset names that are still trading within great entry zones and which provides you with a much better margin of safety after entry and positions you for a great ROI post price appreciation.

It is for this reason that some who subscribed for the outline/guide won't have exactly the same set of asset and/or the same exact prices. ...especially those who ordered much later.
I have to regularly do an in-depth but proficient review to certify that those who subscribe much later, also get as much VALUE as those who ordered earlier.

The outline has all the guidance you need. ...it's an all-touching outline that tells you where you need to put your money for a possible high ROI and gives you a proficient and efficient guide to succeed in it.

Just follow the instructions therein and you should make worthy returns.

Regards
Krisuba: 1:51pm On Jan 14, 2024
Locotrader:


Mining stocks are always mad when they move.They give a profit of 2 years under 1 month.Ask Multiverse.When they respond, take your loot to another comfortable one.

My target is to be a substantial holder in the Initiates company which can lead to an appointment or contract as the case may be.

One great guy!! Thank you for always wanting some one to benefit along with you!!

4 Likes

megawealth01: 1:58pm On Jan 14, 2024
grin
onegentleguy:
The following was a chat between me and 2 fellows who subscribed to my investment outline/guide late last night.
Had to put this out there so those who might have similar question or thoughts and wish to get some clarification can be guided accordingly.

N:.B: Post was edited to exclude the actual names of the asset as used in the illustration.

1st Subscriber;
Hi Sinclair,
Thanks a lot for the well detailed outline and for all you do and continue to do to help folks like us beat the financial market.
I however noticed that out of the, I believe 18 company's in the outline, about 3--4 are currently trading above the prices you analyzed and recommended. Mind explaining why?
Though am also very content with the over 14 others still within buying range.
Thank you once again!

2nd Subscriber;
Dear OGG,
I have gone through the content and I must say it is overwhelming! While some have moved past your TEP, a lot of value still remains in others. I truly appreciate. 🙏
Thanks for the great details and bonuses.

Me;
Yes it's true that a few of the asset names have gone past their target entry prices (TEPs) but that's because they are not entirely fresh recommendations.
...some of them were initially recommended at lower prices and those who were privileged to subscribe for the outline/guide much earlier got in at those bargain prices.

To illustrate;

At least 2 of the asset in the outline/guide have delivered over triple digit % gain from when I 1st launched the outline/guide in late Nov, 2023.
Those who subscribed earlier and bought then, must have gotten over 100% ROI on both stocks.

Again, there are other asset names that were previously recommended in my last outline before this one, but still part this one even when they've delivered astronomical returns. Infact 2 of the said coys have delivered a whooping 185 and 440% ROIs for those who bought at the average peg of the range in the previous outline.

And if you're probably wondering why I still included a few of them after they've already delivered great gains, it's because of their technical and fundamental stance. Fundamentally, these select assets are broadly healthy with many pockets of positive prospect (and for some, BU/TD catalyst) that can reproduce further price rise in view of their FVEs.

But based on technicals, price can retrace to the range you now have in your outline before another possible price uptrend, hence, the need for a recommendation at psychological SLs and below their CMPs.
This is a capital protection mechanism that ensures you don't overpay for an asset that has rallied and is already overbought.

For these few set of stocks, it's best to patiently wait for their prices to "come to you and not chase after them."
And if they don't, you can always buy from the many other asset names that are still trading within great entry zones and which provides you with a much better margin of safety after entry and positions you for a great ROI post price appreciation.

It is for this reason that some who subscribed for the outline/guide won't have exactly the same set of asset and/or the same exact prices. ...especially those who ordered much later.
I have to regularly do an in-depth but proficient review to certify that those who subscribe much later, also get as much VALUE as those who ordered earlier.

The outline has all the guidance that one needs. ...it's an all-touching outline that tells you where you need to put your money for a possible high ROI and gives you a proficient and efficient guide to succeed in it.

Just follow the instructions therein and you should make worthy returns.

Regards

2 Likes

ojeysky(m): 2:04pm On Jan 14, 2024
MrDiligence:
Meristem have upgraded their platform

Fantastic new look.... To those using the old app you won't get automatic update go manually update the app. Interface looks good for starters will see how it scales during market period
veecovee: 5:22pm On Jan 14, 2024
megawealth01:


Nawaoh... This is the second time I've sent it...

Your email is [email protected]?
You are right my brother, I saw the 2 mails in my spam folder
aimaft: 6:31pm On Jan 14, 2024
Locotrader:
Those who are in the boat of Japaul should sit very tight.That type of hurricane bull is around it again.

Let's see if it will break #3 this time.


It surely will. Just observe
Streetinvestor2: 7:03pm On Jan 14, 2024
Locotrader:


The answer is in your question.
I get it.It is defensive stock to newbies in the stock market.
megawealth01: 7:07pm On Jan 14, 2024
grin
Streetinvestor2:
I get it.It is defensive stock to newbies in the stock market.
yMcy56: 7:08pm On Jan 14, 2024
undecidedAPEL REGISTRARS SHAREHOLDERS PORTAL
* Dividend processing made easy
* One of the difficult registrars to deal with.... now has a shareholders portal whereby you can sort your dividend related issues online......

** They also operate a stock brokerage arm now.

2 Likes

megawealth01: 7:08pm On Jan 14, 2024
veecovee:

You are right my brother, I saw the 2 mails in my spam folder
One love
machine606: 8:14pm On Jan 14, 2024
yMcy56:
undecidedAPEL REGISTRARS SHAREHOLDERS PORTAL
* Dividend processing made easy
* One of the difficult registrars to deal with.... now has a shareholders portal whereby you can sort your dividend related issues online......

** They also operate a stock brokerage arm now.

Happy New Year all.
I saw change of name and address on the advert. Will it reflect on CSCS?
BuchyD: 12:01am On Jan 15, 2024
Happy New trading week y'all..

Let's go👍👍

2 Likes

megawealth01: 8:09am On Jan 15, 2024
sonofElElyon:


"The Initiates" have their very own company by the way....

WISDOM grin
essentialone(m): 9:38am On Jan 15, 2024
MrDiligence:
Meristem have upgraded their platform

On the new Meristem portal, the price a stock is placed to buy or sell, does not display on the list of Orders.
Also, the tab button to Cancel an Order, has been removed from the list of Orders.

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