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2023: Ganduje, Kwankwaso, Shekarau Scramble For Buhari’s Kano Bulk Votes - Politics - Nairaland k4424

2023: Ganduje, Kwankwaso, Shekarau Scramble For Buhari’s Kano Bulk Votes (18369 Views)

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divinehand2003(m): 7:30am On Sep 04, 2022
The battle for the 2023 presidential election seems to have shifted to Kano State at the moment.

DAILY POST reports that there is an ongoing tussle among the leading presidential candidates to inherit the millions of votes in Kano State, as President Muhammadu Buhari will not be on the ballot.

The supremacy battle between Governor Umar Ganduje, ex-governors Rabiu Kwankwaso and Ibrahim Shekarau could decide where the pendulum swings for or against any of the presidential candidates.

For the past 20 years, Buhari monopolized the votes in Kano. In 2011, Buhari under the Congress for Progressives Change (C) polled 1.6 million votes. Shekarau of the ANPP, was at that point the incumbent governor of Kano State.

In 2015, Buhari polled 1.903 million votes, while PDP polled 215,777 votes. In 2019, even with Kwankwaso in PDP, Buhari still polled 1.4 million votes, leaving Atiku Abubakar with 391,593 votes.


However, during the 2019 governorship election, Ganduje won the election with a margin of 8,982.

With Buhari not on the ballot for the first time in 20 years, presidential candidates are scheming to crack the Kano votes. As it appears, Buhari’s votes are non-transferable to anyone. When he won the 2019 election with a margin of over 1 million votes, two weeks after, Ganduje struggled to win the election with 8,982.

Last week, the candidate of the PDP, Atiku, his running mate, Ifeanyi Okowa and several other presidential bigwigs were in Kano to receive Shekarau. The main opposition is counting on the former governor to deliver the votes.

Kano’s political cobweb

The ruling party is relying on Governor Ganduje to deliver the votes against his former boss, Rabiu Kwankwaso of the NNPP.

The political relationship in the State is like a cobweb. In 2003, Shekarau defeated Kwankwaso and his deputy Ganduje. In 2011, the duo of Kwankwaso and Ganduje made a comeback when they defeated the ruling ANPP led by Shekarau, who had completed his tenure.

By 2016, Kwankwaso, who was in the Senate had a fallout with his successor, Ganduje and was forced to move to the PDP. In the 2019 election, both Ganduje and Shekarau teamed up against Kwankwaso but managed to win the governorship race with less than 10,000 votes

Within this election cycle, Shekarau has been in APC, but left after losing the supremacy battle. He defected to NNPC, however, he claimed that he was betrayed by Kwankwaso and he is now finally in the PDP.

Interestingly, the Shehu Sagagi-led State executive of the Kano PDP is loyal to Kwankwaso. However, on Tuesday, the Court of Appeal removed the Sagagi led exco. Which means Shekarau will be the leader of the PDP in the State.

Chances

The ruling party, APC and Ganduje will rely on their political structure. They have two Senators, several House of Representative , among others.

During the primaries, Ganduje backed Tinubu completely and was even on campaign entourage to several States. This fueled speculation of Tinubu picking him as running mate, however, the former Lagos State governor settled for Kashim Shettima.

On the other hand, the Kwankwasiyya Movement proved themselves in the last election. They narrowly lost the governorship election with slim margins.

Also, with Kwankwaso on the presidential ballot as the only candidate from the Northwest, many believe that the group is well prepared.

Abdulmummin Jibrin, the spokesperson of Kwankwaso, had recently claimed that his principal is the one to inherit the votes.

“Somebody who is the beneficiary of the 12 million Buhari’s votes. Kwankwaso is the most popular person, most loved.

“He is the person who is going to control those votes. Now look at the dynamics of the election today, there is no sitting governor in the northern part of the country that is contesting for the presidency, so every governor has peculiar challenges in his State,” he said.


Meanwhile, a statement in June had suggested that there could be a possible alignment between Tinubu and Kwankwaso, when the latter said, “If I cannot get (the presidency) I can recommend Tinubu.”

Jubrin responded that there is no alliance between his party and Tinubu.

“People should disregard all these rumours that Kwankwaso is working for Asiwaju,” he said.

Atiku will be looking at how to improve his votes in Kano. The highest votes he has gotten from Kano is 391,593 in 2019.


Although, with Buhari out, he may fancy his chances, but considering that Kwankwaso is on the ballot and Ganduje is working to deliver the State for Tinubu, the Kano votes may be balkanized and not in its usual bulk.

“Atiku and Shekarau will be seeking to convince Kano voters that he is the only one that can ensure the North retains power for another 8 years,” Mohammed Jafar, a political analyst in Kano told DAILY POST.

Where is Peter Obi

Some months back, there was a serious conversation on alliance between Peter Obi and Kwankwaso.

However, the talks broke down because none of the two candidates was willing to deputize.

Still, Obi will be counting on non-indigenes in Sabon Gari and other parts of Kano. Also, he will be relying on the strength of his deputy, Yusuf Datti. Although Datti is from Kaduna State, he is from a large family with strong connections in the north.

It is unclear how these factors will translate to getting a significant bite of the Kano votes.

https://dailypost.ng/2022/09/04/2023-ganduje-kwankwaso-shekarau-scramble-for-buharis-kano-bulk-votes/

9 Likes

Tolumis: 7:31am On Sep 04, 2022
I pity for same faith Candidates because they will have to share their votes among themselves, because religion whether we like it or not will play a role in this election

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38 Likes 1 Share

divinehand2003(m): 7:32am On Sep 04, 2022
Kano State vote is being heavily contested by APC, PDP and NNPP. Unfortunately LP has no foothold yet in Kano.

25 Likes 6 Shares

endsarrrs(f): 7:32am On Sep 04, 2022
Too much of what's happening in our country today is not normal. And here in my view is what is true, Apc do not respect the constitution. They do not believe in the rule of the law, they do not recognise the will of the People...

61 Likes 4 Shares

Meyldon: 7:34am On Sep 04, 2022
A divided house can not stand...

1 Like

Viz007(m): 7:35am On Sep 04, 2022
No matter how you look at it, Kano, Kaduna, Lagos and Rivers States votes will matter in this 2023 elections. Any serious party with the aim of winning that election should take these electorates seriously.

21 Likes

Asgard73: 7:39am On Sep 04, 2022
Atiku is already making serious inroads in Northwest..
And they’re steadily queuing behind ..

Kwankwanso can deliver Kano senators and state house rep ..

The Abacha family is taking the governorship God’s willing..

Presidential votes will be shared at least Atiku is getting over 45% from Kano

E sure

Power to the people
North2023

15 Likes 3 Shares

Aufbauh(m): 7:40am On Sep 04, 2022
The salient fact remains that people mostly illiterate rural voters will still vote along party line.

The advantage Tinubu has is the pulling out of Shekarau from the Kwankwaso camp. The dual bloc has been weakened.

Let us also not forget that Buhari will still campaign alongside Tinubu/Shettima.

ofeco:

The Buhari they knew then is not the Buhari they know now.

You guys said more than this before 2019 then,after the election you started ur usual 'rigging tone'.

58 Likes 4 Shares

Penguin2: 7:43am On Sep 04, 2022
Kwankwaso will come first in Kano.

Shekarau will come second for Atiku.

Ganduje and his Emilokan will come distant third.

For Tinubu to win 2023 elections, he needs to win the north and Southwest like Buhari did.

Can Tinubu win the north from the reality on ground today?

53 Likes

Soloton01: 8:32am On Sep 04, 2022
I agbadoola a.k.a leaky yansh drug lord for president

4 Likes

Re: 2023: Ganduje, Kwankwaso, Shekarau Scramble For Buhari’s Kano Bulk Votes by Nobody: 8:33am On Sep 04, 2022
Hmmm
omenka(m): 8:33am On Sep 04, 2022
They should forget about it. Obidients told us Peter will get at least 60%.

57 Likes

Spells(m): 8:34am On Sep 04, 2022
They’ve turned our country to phone that they use us to subscribe now anyhow… Bunch of old men

3 Likes

God1000(m): 8:34am On Sep 04, 2022
endsarrrs:
Too much of what's happening in our country today is not normal. And here in my view is what is true, Apc do not respect the constitution. They do not believe in the rule of the law, they do not recognise the will of the People...
lol, quoting Biden's speech, but this is absolutely true
Lovenorth: 8:34am On Sep 04, 2022
I have no prepared candidate at the moment because our Northern politicians have disappointed us, I don't care who becomes the president, even if it's Obi or whoever what I know is that non of them truly like the poor

8 Likes

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KanwuliaExtra: 8:35am On Sep 04, 2022
Saint OBI nor the cramble?
Anything for “the boys”? grin

2 Likes

Truthisunique2: 8:36am On Sep 04, 2022
Ganduje no get any say for the Kano votes

It's between shekaru who is now PDP vs kwanwaso

Don't forget Atiku sef get ers in Kano plus PDP is vibrant in kano

I see kwanwaso shifting post for atiku to signify justice since NW is the one leaving office now and NE never had it

15 Likes 2 Shares

nkemoma(m): 8:36am On Sep 04, 2022
So Obi no follow?

Well, his numbers will come organically

2 Likes

ecolime(m): 8:39am On Sep 04, 2022
Ganduje can't help Tinubu out in Kano. Not even Buhari himself.

7 Likes 1 Share

nkemoma(m): 8:40am On Sep 04, 2022
So NNPC is a party in Kano?

3 Likes 1 Share

ofeco: 8:40am On Sep 04, 2022
Aufbauh:
The salient fact remains that people mostly illiterate rural voters will still vote along party line.

The advantage Tinubu has is the pulling out of Shekarau from the Kwankwaso camp. The dual bloc has been weakened.

Let us also not forget that Buhari will still campaign alongside Tinubu/Shettima.
The Buhari they knew then is not the Buhari they know now.

3 Likes 1 Share

Winters23: 8:41am On Sep 04, 2022
divinehand2003:
Kano State vote is being heavily contested by APC, PDP and NNPP. Unfortunately LP has no foothold yet in Kano.


How is it unfortunate?

LP doesn't have to win Kano to win the elections.

Besides APDP will cancel each other out in the north

22 Likes 2 Shares

FixxNigeria23: 8:41am On Sep 04, 2022
Did anyone else saw NNPC on the content
blinking001(m): 8:43am On Sep 04, 2022
Atiku owns Buharis votes in the north. Kwankwaso will surely collapse his political structure for his godfather Atiku Abubakar. Anybody that don't see this coming is blind to the politics of the north.

13 Likes 2 Shares

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