NewStats: 3,264,150 , 8,182,789 topics. Date: Monday, 09 June 2025 at 09:38 PM 583cw6z3e3g |
(1) (6) (of 6 pages)
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
aj8: Your point is clear—there’s really no debate here. If you believe Ellah Lake isn't worth it, by all means, leave and don’t look back. But if you see the potential, as we did, then now is the time to accumulate. I don’t understand the attacks and the arguments. Too many people are reacting emotionally, driven by the need to be right. Nobody send them. ![]() 2 Likes |
![]() |
Spam bot banning me for posting these, ![]() Does it look like spam to you? 4 Likes 1 Share |
![]() |
![]() |
emmanuelewumi: Ok, I am taking it down. waste of space abi? ![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
seyisanya: You are correct but the latent point i was making is that if you have a moderately good selection process you can take 50 to 60% or more out of available 100 plus annually. 1 Like |
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
![]() 1 Like |
![]() |
ositadiima1: Zenith as a case study: Lets start with d definition of some . 1. Seasonality: It is a periodical fluctuation where the same pattern occurs at a regular interval of time. 2. Box and Wisker plot: A boxplot is a way to show a five number summary in a chart. The main part of the chart (the “box”) shows where the middle portion of the data is: the interquartile range. At the ends of the box, you find the first quartile (the 25% mark) and the third quartile (the 75% mark). The far left of the chart (at the end of the left “whisker”) is the minimum (the smallest number in the set) and the far right is the maximum (the largest number in the set). Finally, the median is represented by a vertical green line in the center of the box. The dots are outliers. 3. Autocorrelation plot: A little hard to explain(if u insist do a google search) but it is another way of detecting seasonality. The first plot is quite self explanatory, u can easily spot the 4 year cycle. Sorry, not displayed in the chart, y-axes is in closing prices and x-axis is in years. In the second plot u can see as well the periodicity of the data points (I have about 2000 data points from 2012 to 2021). If you are familiar with sinusoidal waves u wont have problem agreeing with me that it appears to have a period spanning over 1000 data points(roughly 4 year cycle). Other Large caps have similar distribution. Once again I it that the data is too small to come to real conclusions but it was fun. 6 Likes 1 Share |
![]() |
I noticed a 4 year cycle in the movement of some stocks, especially the large caps and some banking stocks. It appears that these stocks peak between 2 to 2.5 years from the start, and from there it is a downward movement till next cycle. Interestingly, it coincides with the elections. Thus, if this conjecture holds any water, the current bull (don't get me wrong here, up and downs yes but overall trend will be up) will last till 2022 to mid 2023, from there back to bottom. Note that I teased this from 10 years of data and may not be representative. ![]() 8 Likes 2 Shares |
![]() |
yMcy56: Pls what is the typical range in market values for small, mid and large cap stocks? |
![]() |
![]() |
pluto09: I agree with you on that one, there is a limit to howmuch u can buy on most stocks. If u have a 200 million or more it will be very hard to trade systematic strategies, u will be forced to do buy and hold. |
![]() |
Zagee: Hmmm, why do you think there is no control? I don't understand why some folks here believe NSE is manipulated either. As far as I know the NSE is authentic and genuine. If someone has enough money to bid for 100M share in order to move the market and later withdraws his bids, that in itself is not manipulation but strategy. I have been looking at past data for a while and how they change over time .I haven't seen any anomalies. 2 Likes |
![]() |
I am sorry if I bug u guys with my perceived crap, I am talking to u, the diehard fundamentalists and serial dividend collectors. ![]() I haven't seen any references in our local media towards systematic trading techniques. So, I post mine. I know some big and small firms use these techniques on our NSE, codedly. I am sure they are cashing out big time. If systematic algorithms make big bucks on the New York Stock Exchange, which is saturated as at now with these trading robots, how much more our NSE. Food for thought "Bro". ![]() 5 Likes |
![]() |
kintus: It depends on howmuch he is investing in each stock. Ok, I am not saying he isn't investing serious money though. For example, I have been testing a mean reversion strategy which is a beat more involved than the quater strategy I experimented on before. I enter with 200k only(hypothetically as it is a backtest with previous close prices), and can hold as many as 40 different stocks at any one time. From start date (2012 cos that is as far as my data goes) to subsequent days on my time series of prices I buy when the stock goes beyond one standard deviation below mean. To make things a little clear, if I was to compute todays requirements. I would collect all the closing prices from march 2012, my start date, up to yesterday. Find the mean and standard deviation. If todays closing price is less than *** mean - standard deviation *** I buy. I think this works because past prices hold information about a stock - where a stock has been in d past affects its future pricing. By now u would be thinking, but how do I get out. I get out in 2 ways, when I am more than 70% up from buy price or 70% down. Believe me, stocks hardly drop below 70% (Only Oando has done that to me twice since 2012 till date). Consequences are that I am loaded on many stocks wating to exit in any of this two ways. And ofcourse, I only buy a stock when I am out of it. I am posting no graphs or tables, belive me I have had many more stocks exiting through over 70% profit than not. Best thing is I get to also enjoy dividends during d holding period. How u see am nah? #systematic_trader 3 Likes |
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
richforever123: He is probably scanning my posts, topics and shit for clues. Since he/she has appointed himself/herself our resident archeologist or abi detective. ![]() |
![]() |
I don't like to brag but, I get more ass than a toilet seat. ![]() |
![]() |
Lazyyouth4u: U be idiot o. ![]() I wrote a good story which some folks found interesting. See ur self, u believe ma story without evidence but u don't believe that @Ahib owns a fleet of trucks. U be bad belle o. 2 Likes |
![]() |
TransAtlanticEx: Iogobenz: |
![]() |
Lazyyouth4u: See person accusing me of talking like a child, what about all the childish squabbles between u and some other guys u have been having here nko? |
![]() |
Lazyyouth4u: Na u dem go first arrest for defaming the good name of our honourable politicians. ![]() You have successfully chased away good people on this thread, see how d whole place scanty like grave yard. I hope u are pleased with ur self. 5 Likes |
![]() |
DrAwo: You have a valid point, but so is the run we experienced in the insurance sector; 1. LINKASSURE has made over 80% and the last time they paid dividends in the last 6 years was 2018 (5 kobo) 2. ROYALEX has made over 70% and paid dividends two times in the last 6 years. 2014 (5 kobo) and 2015 (2 kobo) 3. NIGERINS has made over 50% and paid dividends tree times in the last 6 years. 2014 (8 kobo), 2015 (4 kobo), 2016(4 kobo) Dividend wise CAVERTON has maintained above 6% in the last 3 years and above 10% in the last 2 years. But again it is possible I am not seeing the whole picture sha. |
![]() |
PuristForest: Bro this ur chart is so complex o. Looks like eliott waves, did u use Fibonacci for the projections? |
![]() |
hakeem4: Funny guy, you don't know if it ended in a pot of stew afterwards, abi? ![]() |
![]() |
megawealth01: I agree. |
(1) (6) (of 6 pages)
(Go Up)
Sections: How To . 48 Disclaimer: Every Nairaland member is solely responsible for anything that he/she posts or s on Nairaland. |