NewStats: 3,259,684 , 8,170,690 topics. Date: Sunday, 25 May 2025 at 06:59 PM 4v4r4b

Lol.

Majority of Anambra results weren't ed to the IREV, even as I post this.

This analysis is so unsound. Votes are not just deducted and thrown back into thin air.

If the votes criminally counted for APC are deducted and added to the correct beneficiary of the votes , would APC still win? That is the sound analysis you should be doing.

Ekundayo7574:
Omo ale if Obi win any state in south west God should take my life

Are you dead yet?

dinachi:
The idiot saying they should kill Igbos is an Igbo man oh! Something is wrong with some people.

He said EOs (Electoral Officers), not Igbos.

Clout chasing by May.

The post says "as it should be" and this consigns the picture to the opinion of the poster as to what the family should look like.

It appears some terrible advisers are pressing May's buttons and using her circumstances to further their agenda.

ImmaculateJOE:

Before now, I was not sure about 25%, but after yesterday it became clear to me that it is much easier for Obi to get 25% in Adamawa than for him to do that in SW apart from Lagos..

If he can win Numan Federation that has up to 4LGAs then he can..

Numan federation would traditionally vote Obi, but they're conflicted currently, because Atiku is one of them.

ImmaculateJOE:

Walahi, Obi is a master strategist, Obi is going for the victory in Adamawa state...

This is the first time in history that a top presidential candidate visited Numan and Mubi..
The APC senator representing Adamawa north is Obidient, he is the candidate of APC in the said area..
Babchir Lawal on his own part is doing a great work, Tinibu ers insulted him that he has no political value.. He will prove them wrong by delivering more than 35% of votes in up to 7LGAs (Song, Gombi, Hong, Mubi South, Mubi North, Michika, and Madagali) across the bridge.. The only LGAa across the bridge that Obi will perform poor is Gieri and Maiha..

Going south of Adamawa from the bridge.. Obi will get 25% in Yola North, Mayo, Ganye, Jada, Tongo, 50% in Numan, Demsa, Guyuk, and Lamurde

@garfield1

You know the lay of the land, my brother 🙂🙂

👍

Kobojunkie:
According to legal experts, verbal agreements — not just those that are recorded — are legally binding.

Verbal agreements are binding, if they can be established ie both parties accept that there was an agreement in the first place. In this case, if the defendant pleads there was no such agreement, then it cannot be established.

She averred that she sent text messages to him as proof that there was an agreement. It would serve, if he was the one that sent it. So that is not acceptable evidence.

The man can easily turn it back on her and allege blackmail. The little she owns will then be sold off to her legal battles and subsequent payments to him when she loses.

Beyond the legal issues involved, she still loses out. She will never bag another big fish. She will have to learn how to work hard for her money, which I doubt she could. Or end up as a short time sex worker.

The man most likely loses his job because the bank will relieve him of his job to save face. Beyond that, he can still leverage his network and the sympathy of other potential sugar daddy blackmail victims to find a new lease on life.

Don't sweat it, this is just an academic exercise.

Everything he said is verifiable...

SilverOrLead:
The wicked runs when no one chases them.

The allegations laid against Emefile by the DSS are very weighty - terrorism financing.

I know everything and institution about governance under the Buhari led APC govt has gone to dog shit but seriously, terrorism financing ! And to even be levelled at such a highly placed figure like the CBN governor are not trivial or flimsy allegations but very serious offences that have greater repercussions on the Nation's international standing if a Central Bank Governor can be falsely accused of such for political reasons just to get him out of office.

Its for this I sincerely feel that there may be some real hard evidence against Emefile . And when you consider how politicized Emefile had become and how he has been funding media and some phantom groups to push his cashless policies and how did same when he foolishly went to court to seek a ruling to allow him to contest the presidential primaries under the APC while still being the CBN governor, you just have to say, maybe the DSS truly have some real dirt on him.

Let's see if he will still claim asylum in the UK or take up citizenship in one of the Caribbean island nations that don't have extradition treaties/laws.

If the evidence was that weighty, the High Court Judge would have granted their request. They wouldn't even have to try to deceive him into granting them the order.

We saw how it played out with Onnoghen.

This script is culled from the same playbook.

MufasaLion:
A proud adulterer cum polygamist. Disgusting.

A role model to ignorant and lost sheeples.

What happened to respecting individual differences and choices?

BATified2023:
D same students he increased their tuition fee by 200% at ANSU n made it clear education isn’t meant for the poor

The mugu don realize say na flop b him rally so he wants to bring irrelevant psquare n students so we can think it’s massive


Bunch of clowns

Balderdash.

It was the quest for unity that led Emilokan to select a Muslim VP. It was because of his love for ALL Nigerians that Emilokan ignored the SE and SS till campaigns started. Even at that, he has visited the SE once in how many years, even for campaign.

Spare us your sermon. You don't even believe it yourself. Going by the things your organisation spew on social media especially here on NL, SE and part of SS are readying for civil war should Emilokan become President.

No right thinking person entrusts the future of his children to a genocidal enemy.

Lol

I can relate, lil girl. Mum just doesn't understand.

garfield1:


You are not being realistic.whether you like it or not,elections in se/ss are prone to rigging.if a whole ojukwu could lose in the east,who is obi? Am not saying obi will lose but in a threw horse race,highest he can get is 65%.he will get 90% in anambra anywhere...
Tinubu was instrumental to magnus ing sdp.he is working for tinubu.he dominates ogoni and ogoni gives bloc votes.tinubu can get 100k here.asari declared for tinubu since last year, he is popular and dominant in kalabari .the apc candidate tonye cole is also from here.they can bring 100k votes.another place is abolga where hon UDI odum dominates for apc.buhari got 40k votes here,tinubu can get 50k.but overall,obi will win rivers while tinubu gets 25%.atiku takes last...
Do not be deceived.bayelsa is obi weakest point in se/ss.dont be deceived by people at the urban areas,at the rural areas it is apc or pdp...
Again,many labour party agents can easily compromise or intimidated on election day and they will allow apc and pdp to manipulate results.
Like I earlier said,se and ss turnout will be high but while obi will win se,ss will be shared.by the way,I am from ss.

Lol, are you sure you have been to the south south recently?

As powerful as Wike is, he is being careful not to drum for BAT, and here you are mentioning Asari Dokubo, Tonye Cole etc as if they can command people on who to vote. That happens only in the north, my friend. Even Amaechi couldn't pull that off.
BAT will get nothing from Rivers. Take that to the bank. It's between AA and PO.

Now, while BAT was comfortable with people in the SS voting PO rather than giving their votes to AA, he is becoming scared now. PO is a real challenger now, and has gained enough clout to force a runoff. In any runoff, BAT loses, head or tails.

Ayosman1:
Many of you does not even understand National politics.
If anyone here is sure of this let's drop 50k for the of this forum. Atiku will win 80% of the northern states, NC, NW and NE.
Atiku performance in S/S, SE and S/W will shock many of you when results start coming in by February. Tinubu will win Atiku in northern state, I dey laugh, very funny

Sometimes, when I see comments from people on this forum, I begin to wonder - this elections, isn't it humans that'll vote, or will a computer allocate votes randomly?

Interact with people, get round the country and you would not "get shocked" when election results start coming in.

These four persons tweeting in a room have really gone far...

As it stands today, below is the most realistic position of things. Unless anything changes, this is how it stands...


NW

Sokoto AA
Zamfara BAT
Katsina TCC
Kebbi TCC
Kano TCC
Kaduna TCC
Jigawa AA

NE

Borno BAT
Yobe BAT
Gombe TCC
Bauchi AA
Adamawa AA
Taraba AA

NC

Kogi BAT
Nasarawa TCC
Plateau PO
Niger BAT
Kwara TCC
Benue PO
FCT PO

SW

Lagos TCC
Osun TCC
Oyo BAT
Ogun BAT
Ondo BAT
Ekiti BAT

SS

Rivers PO
Bayelsa PO
Delta PO
Cross River PO
Edo PO
Akwa Ibom PO

SE

Anambra PO
Enugu PO
Ebonyi PO
Imo PO
Abia PO

stuffs2002:
A typical S/E doesn't take responsibility for their actions.


How did EFCC made you trick the young boy into donating organs for your child.

Latakia:
The day the Igbo tribe take responsibility for the consequences of their action rather than blaming other tribes is the day they will get it right in Nigeria.

Okealaaye:
Not again! A unique characteristic of our compatriots from Eastern Nigeria is the penchant to heap blames which are naturally and reasonably theirs on the other Nigerians. As a father myself I felt for Senator Ekweremadu in his travails, but to blame others for a case that's evidently his is stretching Victimisation and Marginalisation beyond their elasticities.

These comments were all posted by Emilokan's online urchins.

Contrast it with the comments by the easterners and tell us who really loves this country.

The SE is about the only zone where its people do not hold flags for corrupt government officials. They are the only zone who would not allow "their own thief" to go scot free because he's one of them.

Yet, because of hate, the urchins have to find a way to denigrate a race of over 40 million people.

And somehow the mods on NL turn a blind eye to the hate words. Some mods are even paid urchins for Emilokan

MufasaLion:
A sad history but I'm glad she channeled her disgust and anger into her ion and excel in life. People should learn to understand and respect other people's decision and choice of life. Some would have turned against her wish of not marrying or having a baby. I'm proud of her.

Incest is very common all over the world now and many have married their mother, daughter, father, grandma, grandfather etc intentionally and willingly. Most times, they relocate to another location where they are unknown and live till they die. And some will stay back in their abode (where they are known) and never make it known that they're into it.

You have always appeared to ask people to respect individual choices. Yet you have no problem with individuals disrespecting shared communal and/societal values.

There is a saying - if a person cooks for the community, they'll finish the feast, for sure. But if the community cooks for him, does he stand a chance?

Grow up. Wise up. If not for communal values, a hungry person would have eaten you when you were a baby.

God1000:
and who told you that I'm not paying adequate attention to what's happening in my state.

Don't forget that the change of government at the centre will have either the positive or negative impact on the entire country, do you know how many people that have been killed in my home state of Benue because of Buhari's refusal to do the right thing

Don't mind that bomboklaat. He thinks it's still those days of politics based on tribe and hate. He is yet to visit Edo, Benue, Taraba, Plateau, Nasarawa. He'll soon get the shock of his life.

buckeyemedia:
Wouldn’t blame you, only an oblivious Ipobian who has never left South East Nigeria, will sit down in Awka and say Peter Obi will win Lagos State.

On the alternative rather, you it is who have never gone beyond Kofar Ruwa. While I can beat my chest that I know more about any part of the North than you do, both the culture, food, geography, current affairs or trends.

Or you want to argue about the SW too?


Some of us here actually do travel.

buckeyemedia:
Tinubu may end up winning Anambra & Adamawa?

His was a highly probable prediction. Yours is a tall dream.

Asgard73:


Stop hallucinating based on hear say..

OBi ain’t getting 25% in Kano talk more of north central

Obi is not a force in this election reason no candinate is decamping to Labour

If Obi is a force ..60% of igbo politcians would have decamp to Labour and atleast 29% of Nigerian politcian for am..

No Dey come online dey type and hype gibberish

I’m told you before Soludo made his statement

OBi would lose Anambra Enugu and Abia

Una can abuse and curse all Una want but that remain the reality on ground

Elections have never been won on social media .. Talk more Nairaland

You guys are just wasting funds

If Obi go win I for don am tey tey … but reality is always always far from hallucinations and say dreaming



Power to the people
North 2023

In the NW and NE, election outcomes can be predicted by looking at the movement of political bigwigs.

Not so in the SE.

Even in the last Anambra guber, almost all the political bigwigs defected to APC including the Deputy Governor. On election day, APC came a distant third.

Lagos has more ed voters than Kano but they hardly produce more than 1.5m votes. It's not because of voter apathy. It's because in major voting blocs, votes are suppressed. With the new electoral law, let's watch and see.

In Rivers, if Wike had such a stranglehold on the votes, how come PDP has just one Senator?
Wike was a beneficiary of Rivers people's anger at Amaechi and APC for working against their son GEJ. They always vote their minds, not who they're told to.

My point is, do not look at everywhere using the sociology of the North. Politicians are defecting to Labour in droves in the SE, SS and SW, but not the traditional politicians. Those ones cannon control the young ones anymore, so they respect themselves, stay where they are and hope that on election day, they can buy enough votes to sway the election.

Before I forget, Sabon gari votes in Kano had always been suppressed. This time around, it will count. And you already know that neither APC nor PDP has it...

N3TRAL:


I'm not disputing the prevalence of corruption in Nigeria's public and civil service.

I am asking how that corruption and government spending makes the price of a cup of garri to increase by 50% in 6 months.

We know there is corruption. How does it relate with inflation? How will reducing "government spending" fight inflation?

Note, Nigeria does not suffer demand-pull inflation. Inflation in Nigeria is as a result of the cost of producing local goods or importing foreign goods. It is not inflation caused because Nigerians are so rich.

Let's use the biscuit / sausage roll industry as a case study. If the inflation in the industry was a function of surplus money in circulation, the companies in the sector would not reduce the quantity of biscuit in a packet of biscuit and increase the biscuits price by 5% or allow the price to remain. They would rather increase the price of a packet of biscuit by let's say 50% without altering the quantity of a packet of biscuit.

It is because the cost of production is high and the population is poor that most likely makes biscuit manufacturers to reduce the content of the biscuit and retain the price so that Nigerians can still afford biscuits.

I made an edit to my earlier post.

You're right about the cost-push inflation.

Question is, why are costs rising?

It all comes down to the much touted government expenditure, which they are not really "spending" on services. They actually spend it on dollars, pushing up the exchange rate. Which affects the biscuit manufacturer, as his costs rise.
If government blocks stealing and curtails inflation of contract amounts, the nominall expenditure will reduce, and the actual expenditure will increase. The stealing crew will begin to release their cash into the economy, both as bribes to buy their way, or s inducements to sabotage the government or on the normal course of living. Whatever the case, you are right in that the CBN would be in the best position to manage this, not by the government reducing its actual expenditure.

N3TRAL:


You're talking about demand-pull inflation. Nigeria does not suffer demand-pull inflation. A country with a minimum wage of 30,000 naira a month cannot suffer demand pull inflation. We suffer cost-push inflation and promoting an economic policy that will prevent injection will make our built-in inflation worse.

That's by the way. You still haven't shown how government spending in Nigeria significantly causes inflation.

Before we go further, and just for records sake, note that even the minimum wage earner actually spends more than 30k a month. Black tax, subsidies etc all play a part in that.

Now, Government spending in Nigeria is not really what you think. Despite what they say, the government is not really "spending". The billions you hear about mostly go into "savings s" owned by public officers. To make it worse, these billions don't even go into the financial system. They end up removing cash from the system. Both in naira and in dollars.

A prudent government will actually curtail these by reducing the amount available for these "black market operations", and actual spending would in reality increase, and be channelled to sectors where there are impacts on the people. When these set of public office holders can steal no more, they will begin to spend from the loot.

They would be expected to actually flood the economy with unexplained cash.

Prudence by government is what will help then, as against chasing them around with EFCC.

Edit: Just seeing your last question.

Real government spending does not affect the price of Indomie in Nigeria. But the higher the amount touted, the higher the amount stolen. And the higher the amount stolen, the higher the demand for dollars to store the loot. When the private sector is crowded out of the FX market by noncompetitive operators, prices rise.

ogododo:
A man wey wan open borders for all products. Una no know wetin una dey do. Obi no get plan.

It's counterintuitive, but it's the way out of this quagmire. Take a look at our entertainment industry. The IT industry. It didn't get where it is today by censure.

We Nigerians being who we are, as well as with our numbers, will be the ones swallowing up these other economies, not the other way round.

N3TRAL:


Can you please explain the correlation between inflation and the size of government? Your explanation will be better if you can provide one or two successful case studies. Thank you.

It's a simple relationship. Reducing the amount of money in circulation can slow down inflation. Government being the biggest spender can reduce money in circulation by making payments to creditors instead, and reducing the overbloated current expenditure.

Thing is, in Nigeria, there are other factors at play, which they don't for in economics textbooks - the stolen funds stashed away in warehouses, tanks, pits etc. The crazy demand for the dollar as a store of value for the stolen funds, which defies all rational thought.

These people cannot be wished away, but you cannot still entrust our future to them.

This is why we need someone like PO, humble enough to massage their ego and keep them from torpedoing the economy, yet stubborn enough to take the right decisions even he is being manipulated emotionally, as well as disciplined enough not to the other side when he gets to power.

Both the Op and the FTC made a lot of fallacies in their arguments. Won't try to debate them though. Will just throw in my two cents.

Firstly, the OPS really has no power to decide elections here in Nigeria. In saner climes, whichever direction they throw their money at, can dictate where the election swings.

But not in Nigeria.

Just like CBN policies and money market operations etc never gets the desired effect on the Nigerian economy, the Nigerian OPS is toothless.

This is for the simple reason that the raw cash available to politicians like Tinubu and Atiku is enough to make nonsense of any government policy, and the mob they can buy can flatten any business in days. No security agency has the balls to bring them in.

So, any decision taken by the OPS would not be rational, it would rather be based on an instinct for survival, borne out of fear of people like Emilokan who have apportioned a fraction of everyone's taxes to themselves. That is the hard reality.

The next thing to consider is this - the new generation of Nigerian voters won't be directed on who to vote for by of these bodies. They don't even care what their fathers think, OPS or not. They just haven't gotten enough numbers to decisively swing the vote. Watch out for them in future, though.

In a nutshell, the Nigerian businessman will vote out of fear, not out of a desire for progress, and we know who they fear the most in Lagos.

God being merciful, they have no real power to decide who wins or not. Each of us do.

Ireportlive:


Ordinarily Seun's Nairaland as a tech company should win Seun international awards from Forbes, National award like OON and compete with Twitter, having Nairaland page verified with blue badge..

With people like Mynd44, Lalasticlala, Dominique, becoming internet celebrity with multiple endorsement as s..

Sadly this isn't happening because some IPOB trolls have invaded this wonderful platform, you can't comment without them constituting nuisance about, they cancel comments insults strangers, derail thread, curse people, invade people's privacy using their family for propaganda and lies, committing crime hiding behind anonymousity


This is terrible and I hope they don't drive us all to twitter

The hate and bile you spew here on Nairaland, can you do it on twitter with your real bio on it?

Realist12:
I don't mean to sound tribalistic, but a section of Nigerians are always willing to believe any rumor that antagonizes their imaginative enemy , this is democracy we can do better .
We all saw how just any man came from no where with no prior political influence to tell them of Fulani agenda they believed him , this said man tested another lie by telling them Buhari is dead and cloned, yet they still believed him , the educated and illiterate could swear he was stating the facts.
Not like they don't have honest and visionary leaders amongst them but they are easily deceived by the con men therefore promoting such to Saint status.
Is democracy not enlightening these guys, David Hundeyin like other political actor knows their weakness and he's about to enjoy the godlike status amongst them just like Reno and FFK have enjoyed in the past.

The Law is Supreme, the Law has exonerated Tinubu but David is who they choose to believe ? Isn't that a prerequisite to Anarchy?

It's the duty of their Lawyers and educated ones to enlighten them , we Yorubas should also in our own way.


the adage that says if your roommate eats cockroach and you feign, you'd both be affected by his stomach ache at night , coz if he can't sleep you won't sleep as well . Not like Yorubas are not doing her best embracing each other but we can do better.
Hopefully the unrest won't travel to the southwest someday, coz that will be the end .
Our pre colonial systems is playing out here , most other regions have established leadership, the caliphate, empires, kingdoms etc which taxed her territories and provided military security but that can't be said of the East . They need true leadership but always falling into the hands of those that alienate them politically without considering the future of her people.
That's one of the reasons I am against Obi's brand of politics.

We have a duty to protect the democracy we all fought so hard for.
God bless Nigeria.

In a nutshell, you're against Obi because he's from the east.

We know that's the only thing you have to campaign with. Tribal sentiments.

Well, you're on the losing side. And I am not even talking about elections. APC won 2015 and 2019 elections. But it's a fact you'd love Nigerians to forget as you campaign again, BECAUSE AFTER 7 YEARS, EVERYONE LOST.

Now, here you go again. Except, patriotic Nigerians aren't with you. They have ed the winning path. The winning party.

DenreleDave:

Thank God this wasn't Nigeria.. Our igbos brothers and sisters would have been

Keep it up. I guess that's what Tinubu pays you for. Hate-mongering.

If not for NL's anonymity, I wonder how your parents would feel knowing what you do for a living.

You need to change, for their sake at least.

DenreleDave:
read again. I don type am finish

I am not surprised. Somehow, others too are no longer shocked by these hate-filled write-ups you always put up. Only question I have for you is - have you no shame?

Tflex01:


Tinubu will win next February election.

He will win whether Nigerians want him or not? Or because your single vote outweighs millions of other Nigerians'?

It's one thing to generate numbers and win by any means possible. It's another thing winning hearts. After all, even Abacha had all five political parties offering him their presidential ticket. But on the day he died, Nigerians celebrated, and his loved ones watched the same politicians denounce his name and memory.

So you might need to qualify your statement - does he have the heart of Nigerians? Are Nigerians happily and willingly entrusting their future and their children's to him? Or is he just going to find a way and fix himself in there?

Emilokan knows the difference, even if you don't, and wishes he had the former. You doubt it, just take a look at the Supreme Court governor. He knows.

And as long as he does not get the former, any win he gets will be hollow to him.

Now, which of the candidates can I trust my children's future to? I guess you already know.