NewStats: 3,263,812 , 8,181,483 topics. Date: Sunday, 08 June 2025 at 03:43 AM 522o5w

ashacot:
This Is My Projection for this month election.
This projection is based on current reality and dynamics of present political settings.
A lot has changed since 2019 election especially the Dynamics.
But i will be givibg my projection based on the following.
1. The candidates
2. The pulse or mood of the country. Voters turn out, Party structure
Please note that this is subjected to changes until the D election. So i will give my projection region by region and may break them down into states.

SOUTH WEST.


OGUN STATE: with an APC governor and the fact that the APC candidate is a son of the soil will deliver a possible 65-70% of the votes. PDP not strong in Ogun and labour party doesn't have any real presence here. APC 65% PDP 20% LP 15%
OYO STATE: is ruled by PDP but the governor is among the G5 governors of PDP that renegade against the PDP presidential candidate. Feelers already has it that the G5 governors are working for Tinubu's emergence. And the Oyo governor is already scheming to trade the presidential votes in his state for his reelection for second term. APC to get 65% here while PDP 20%, labour 15%.
OSUN STATE. Also a PDP state. The governor is firmly an Atiku fan but he will not be able to stop the APC from taken at least 70% of the votes here. While PDP will score %15, labour will get 15% here.
EKITI STATE. An APC state with key players in both parties working for APC. Ex gov, Fayemi who stepped down for Tinubu in the APC primaries is firmly working with the governor to deliver the state. While another ex gov Fayose who is a PDP leader in the state is also working to deliver votes to Tinubu.
There is little or no presence of labour party in the state. APC 70-75% PDP 15% LP 15.
ONDO STATE. An APC controlled state is the swing state of the south west. One can most times not predict the direction the state will vote as APC lost the presidential election here. Unless there is a significant change here, APC may not win here convincingly So in Ondo, APC %50, PDP 25, LP 20% others %5.
Lagos. The headquarters of APC south. The party has not really won the state convincingly. This is the state APC presidential candidate made his name and consolidated his achievements. Though there are many forces against his victory. Here APC %50. LP 35% PDP %10 others 5%.

SOUTH SOUTH.

DELTA STATE. A PDP stronghold. The VP is from the state. Though he has quite a lot of battle to fight to successfully deliver block vote to his party. He has fallen out with his godfather ibori too and APC look like ..has penetrated the state. The APC got over 25% in the region and won some assembly and senate seats too in 2019 election. With the increasing popularity of LP candidate in the state too, block votes here is looking almost impossible. APC 25%, PDP 40% LP 35%
BAYELSA STATE. A PDP state and ex president Jonathan state too. The PDP is still the strongest party here even though it lost the last gov election to APC but got it back through the court. Here PDP 40%, APC 18% LP42%
AKWA IBOM STATE. A PDP state. But will be largely threatened by LP. The governor here is a strong ATIKU ally with APC structure here shakky despite the presence of ex gov Akpabio. Here APC to get 20% PDP 45% LP 35%
CROSS RIVER STATE. An APC state. The governor has vowed to deliver the state to Tinubu. But even at that, the APC will still not win the state. It has been a traditional PDP state. Here APC will get 25-35%, PDP 30% LP 35-40.
RIVERS STATE: A tradition PDP state too. Its governor is the leader of the G5 govs against ATIKU. He has already showed sign that he is ing the emergence of Tinubu. Here APC to get 30% PDP 30% Labour party 40%.

SOUTH EAST .

IMO STATE. An APC state. But even at that, Labour Party still has an edge here. Obi will get the bulk of the votes here. APC 25% PDP 20% LP 55%
ABIA STATE. Another PDP state. Though its gov is among the G5 govs, it may likely work for PDP due to the death of his choice successor. Labour Party still have an edge here. APC 20-25, PDP 25% LP 55-60%
EBONYI STATE: a traditional PDP state. Though presently ruled by an APC gov. Labour party will still edge this state.
Here APC 25% PDP 10% LP ... 65%
ENUGU STATE: the headquarter of PDP states in south east. Its gov is among the G5 govs. His godfather chimaroke is working for Tinubu emergence but LP will dominate here. APC 15-25%, PDP 20%, LP %65.
ANAMBRA STATE: the home state of LP candidate. He is expected to sweep here even though PDP always sweep here in previous election. APC 9%, PDP 1O% LP 81%. APGA O%

NORTH CENTRAL.

ABUJA: APC lost this place to PDP last election. It may do badly here too but it might not significantly harm them bBecause of LP. here APC 30%, PDP 35% LP 35.
NASARAWA STATE: an APC state with both Christians and muslims. Religion may be a factor here. APC 40%, PDP 35% LP 20% NNPP %5
PLATUE STATE: an APC state and also the state of APC presidential DG. Just like nasarawa, religion and tribe will play a major factor here. APC 35%, PDP 25% LP 35 others 5%.
KOGI STATE: An APC state. And also the state of PDP campaign spome person Dinno Malaye. Here APC 50% PDP 30%, LP 15% Others 5%.
KWARA STATE: An APC state. Though PDP has a presence in the state with ex gov saraki still available, labour little or no presence. Here APC 65% PDP 30, LP 10% NNPP 5%.
BENUE STATE. A PDP state. Its gov has vowed not to work for Atiku. But APC has a strong presence with ex gov George Akume still a big factor. with APC having a Popular gov candidate, APC 40% 40% PDP 20%.

NORTH EAST

GOMBE STATE: an APC state, here APC 50%, PDP 35% NNPP 10% Others 5%
TARABA STATE: A PDP state. Religion and tribe has always defined vote ..here. PDP won the state at both fed and state level in 2019 election. Here, APC will score 30%, PDP 35%, LP 25% NNPP 10% OTHERS 5%
BORNO: An APC state and the home state of APC presidential candidate. Here APC 60%, PDP 28%, LP8, NNPP, 12%
ADAMAWA: The home state of PDP presidential candidate. He won the 2019 election here by the whiskers but president Buhari is not on the ballot here. APC to get 25%, PDP %60, LP 7% NNPP 7%.
YOBE STATE. An APC state. Here APC will slighly edge PDP. APC 45% PDP 40% LP 1% NNPP %10 others 4%
BAUCHI: PDP state. Here PDP will take this state. Though APC has a strong presence here. APC 30%, PDP 60% LP 10% NNPP, 10%

NORTH WEST

ZAMFARA STATE. Here all the ex governors are in APC. the state is predominantly APC. However, PDP has slight presence here. APC 50%, PDP 30% LP, 5% NNPP 15%
KADUNA STATE: A dynamic state. Presently ruled by an APC governor and a henchman of Tinubu campaign el rufai. The state is also the home state of Labour party candidate. No buhari on the ballot here means APC will get 35%, PDP 35% LP 15%, NNPP 15%
KEBBI STATE. Here the APC and PDP will slug it out even though it is an APC STATE. . APC 35% PDP 35% NNPP 15% Others 15%
JIGAWA: is also an APC state and both APC and PDP will slug it out, with Kwankwanso also in the mix with them.
KASTINA STATE. An APC state and also the home state of president Buhari. Buhari is not on ballot here and PDP has a strong presence here. APC 40% PDP40%, NNPP 10% Others 10%.
KANO state. APC state. But APC will not dominate here because president Buhari is not on ballot and presence of kwankwanso. APC30%, PDP 25% NNPP 30%, Others 15%.
SOKOTO STATE: A PDP State. However, APC also have a strong presence here with ex governor Wamako a strong pillar in the state.
APC 35% PDP 40% NNPP 15% Others 5%.

Based on present dynamics, voter's turn out, candidates on the ballot, pulse of the nation and party structure

APC 1st position
PDP Second position
LP 3rd position
NNPP 4Th position.

so Edo is not part of Nigeria again?

muykem:
Someone that will not win two states outside South East.

I hope you won't deactivate your when he does

So seun is a Biafrain

igbotormentor:
So igbos accosted him or what
GOD bless jagaban the incoming president of the federal republic of Nigeria

apc will be lucky to get 10% in Edo. Bookmark this

OriOko88:


Abuja is for pdp just like in 2019. Most elite will vote PDP. They know obi won't win this election.

This is not obi's time. He should keep working hard and be consistent. His time will come.

This is Atiku's time.

how many elite are in Abuja when compared to the common man on the street ??

Edo is obidient....you can take this to the bank

optionalY09:
I am still surprised at the response of Nigerians towards AAC and Showore campaign. The response of Nigerians towards Sowore plainly shows the character of an average blank person. A black person deliberately wish evil against his own brother.

Tell me why everyone is not saying let’s try AAC this guys has shown himself to be good and capable. Why the hate! Africa! Nigerians! why the hate?!

Let’s try AAC!!!

AAC are not ready to win election

flokii:
Thank God this baba wasn't the one in Awolowo's stead... Zik would have succeeded in imposing Igbo language on Yorubas and the entire South.

Obi lost primaries in PDP while Tinubu won his in APC so what is this old baba on about?

how did obi lose primaries in the election he didn't participate 🙄

undisputedKOC:
My offer still stands: I will donate N10 billion to Labor Party if Peter Obi wins 1 single State outside the South East

and when he does you will deactivate and come back with a new 🙄

Thinkam:
Peter na beta pesin, but he goes nowhere

Obi will drop out of the race latest February 14

Atiku is coming

keep dreaming

Mushroom political parties I guess 🤔🥱

Ennoloa:
Someone said Umahi would deliver 25%

trust me pdp and apc won't get 25% in South East

FashionCookie:
E shock una abi? Now, let me shock you guys more...most of them sef no get PVC na to dey insult pple and shout up and down them sabi.
Like one of my neighbour. The werey sef no get PVC...
The annoying thing is they always have excuses for every rubbish...just watch....

labour party ers don't have PVC but pdp and apc ers have PVC🌚

SMARTMOTORS:
My biggest worry is this statement most people makes now. Which is "anyone other than Tinubu is acceptable" and this is coming from people that were fully OBIDIENT few months ago

never seen anyone make this statement...can you show me one?

Lizzysamuel:


I swear.

Remaining 4 states to go.

can you please name the four states?

tinsel:

If you get upto 30000 votes there, remind me this and I will send you 30k naira.

make I quote you incase

Dailyparrot:


Reality will dawn on them on graduation. I have a sister that's a nurse working in a federal hospital. Trust me when I say that she's among the poorest in our family.

A roommate of mine when I was in year 1 took jamb and moved from Agricultural Economics to Pharmacy. To him then, he has hit a jackpot.

I graduated 2016 and finished my service 2018. Have been working since that time and have really done well for myself considering how short I've been in the labour market.

This my roommate just graduated and awaiting service. He's currently 32 years old and earning less than 90k a month where he's doing internship. The truth is, it will take him 3 to 5 years more to get to the level that I am currently.

Getting married is not an option for him at this time. In fact, his only hope of making it right now is to leave Nigeria. Of course, this has become the new normal. People finding escape route once it seems nothing is working for them here.

So, I've seen enough medical professionals around to tell that it does not guarantee more than just an average lifestyle.

Seems you have beef against those in the medical field because what all these rubbish you just wrote here? Why are you bringing someone profession down because you feel you are better than him? 🙄