NewStats: 3,262,434 , 8,177,149 topics. Date: Monday, 02 June 2025 at 09:47 AM 3n2j1e

leo1234:


Don't mind them, they should continue blaming @ Locotrader for their mistakes.

No one is blaming Loco.. Only a phool would put his money into something without adequate research.

I am talking about how Loco uses all his ion and emotions to market something, and next thing you know, he changes his mind and jumps on something else and becomes ionate about it.

So don’t follow without taking caution.

I am always skeptical about low market cap stocks, so I don’t put money I can’t afford to loose in them.

My continuous play still remains ARADEL

Tvegas:

Bro, he shouted Japaul with all his heart, did same with Ellah, the one I believed the most was CHAMS.

I actually did put money in there cuz he sounded like he got inside info on how CHAMS was doing.

I am still invested in Chams though

Locotrader:
[/b]

Did you see my confessional statement when the Q1 result was released?

I will always cast any stock if I see anything wrong that will hinder my move.

Chams Japaul and Ellah are stocks with low revenues and low profit margins.until they change

Omo to dey follow you na like person wey hang behind trailer dey run for en back.

Is PZ Cussons currently undervalued?

I Dey reason am.

I when I mentioned IB, someone said except you wanna be stuck for 5yrs, the person even made mention of their OS.

I kept 1m in it and it almost doubled before I sold and switched all into NB.

ARADEL Div sitting pretty.

Re investing it in their stock.

Hoping the SP drops again.

My Access is my most disappointing stock. I think I should average down

Mpeace:
It's like that aradel seller dey put eye for my .
Each time I put small money for he go just raise the price. Na wa oh
I go soon change focus to Seplat again. Seplat and aradel are relatively at the same price right now given their respective OS.

I made a transfer last week to buy at 460.. I kept 450.

It didn’t execute, only for me to see today’s price. Sadly my average is the current price.

I feel so stvpid

Ibrahim505:

I was paid my recent access bank dividend without filling the e-mandate form. I rate coronation 5/5,

Same here. Surprised to see the money in my

megawealth01:


ARADEL should fall to my entry first

May Aradel never fall to your entry IJN.

How much be your entry self.

It’s so painful that Aradel once moved to 750 and I didn’t sell.

I have been accumulating every month though. But it’s sad to see today’s figure.

I bought some at 470 today thinking I got a good deal.

Locotrader:


Surely they will pump price any moment from now.We go nowhere.Funds are always available at trading for eventualities.

They already have the Govt .They were given tax incentives

Sha shout buy when the time come..

I still Dey keep my chams cuz of you.


But my ARADEL is my main play.. All my life is on it..

Target is 20k shares

Mpeace:
You need to complete and send an e-dividend mandate form to their registrars. That way you get your dividends direct to your bank .
The direct Cash settlement is different

Thanks bro.

Although I typed my name on U-E dividend, nothing popped up.

I would message MC, for the e-dividend mandate form

Mpeace:
Access bank dividend just arrived safely. Hmmm if na other companies now, my access no go gree collect

I didn’t get anything ohh. Never received Dividends before though, I bought Access on the last qualifying date.

What do I do?

I use MorganCapital.

Are dividends paid directly to the Bank ? I canceled Direct Cash Settlement. does it go to my trading ?

Guyz,

Please has Access Bank Paid their Dividends yet?

I have never received Dividends before and I use Morgan Capital..

Is NB good at an entry price of 49.50?

Don’t worry I ain’t too late, only sold my IB to switch to NB

Sunrisepebble:

I’ve only sold Aradel at 850
It’s part of retirement plan. No intention to sell a single unit

Nothing in this world, living or dead would make me sell my Aradel for less than 1k.

May God forbid emergency situation. My target is to acquire 20k units .

Just sold my IB thinking of putting the money on NB or Oando..

Make I try Oando for the first time

ojeysky:


Yes kee

Thanks bro.. So it means that people who received GT and UBA can quickly put money into Access also and Get paid.. Why I no start this Stock thing early

With Access Bank Qualifying date being 29th, does it mean that if I buy on Monday 28th, I would still qualify for Dividend Payment?

jonnysessy:



Aradel will pay N22 final dividend.

Qualification date: 6th May 2025

Payment date: On or before 29th May 2025.

Lovelyyy.. I should increase my stake before the qualification date.

What happens when one sells a day after qualification?

Would I still get my dividends?

I currently have 7k units. Wanna increase to 10k before then

Sunrisepebble:
Some people were wondering the production of the SPDC assets that were acquired previously.
It’s about 400kboepd gross
And about 120kboepd goes to renaissance as they own 30% of the JV. You can work out Aradels share from that.
Aradel in Q1 also have brought a new field on stream, which has started producing. Should reflect in Q1’s result hopefully

Has Aradel announced how much they would pay as dividends?

If they have, when is the qualifying date?

Thank God the whole Oando daily discuss has ended.. But this place is now boring without the fights. Current SP don humble everyone.

Sup with Lafarge?

Ades1:



It is currently trading Below ₦500, that the purpose of buying companies like Aradel is mostly because you expect them to make a lot more profits in the future than they make today. Today the profit is around 50 bucks, in the future it could grow to 100 or 200, now imagine investing 500 today and in the future(5-10 years from now), that investment is returning 200 every year.

Must of the financials states strong buy. Don’t know why the stock price is stangnant for now

RodgersAkpafu:

Sometimes the best thing to do is to lag your investment in aradel

Essentially buying up small small every week
while still waiting for your target price (if it actually materialises ) essentially hedging your risk.

If you keep waiting and aradel inches upwards
That will be a lost opportunity

Thanks a lot .. Appreciate just bidded 480.. It might not fill up tho. Keeping the fingers crossed

Guyz, I have some stake in ARADEL. But been waiting for it to drop below 500 to get more..

Do you think it’s okay going a lot on current price?

yMcy56:
Meanwhile,
OANDO seems to be finding @48.....
Will it hold?
We wait and see

SEPLAT: Except MM makes the move, I don't think an individual investor can take the risk of falling it with above half a billion, N513M on 100k bulk......
Those trying to exit should better go and siddon dey collect their quarterly dividends jejely. 😊

Why don’t they wanna do a stock split so people think it’s cheaper and improve liquidity

bastardson:
Please after selling a stock on Morgan Captain, how do I move the money to available balance. I wanna buy a different stock

Anyone please. The money is showing on Net but not available balance

Please after selling a stock on Morgan Captain, how do I move the money to available balance. I wanna buy a different stock

Who cares?

Locotrader:


As it stands now,talking about chams will make me to loose my respect as certain elements here hijacked this chams especially now the seller is rubbishing the stock price anyhow.

What I know is I have bought value and ICT ,breweries and pharmaceutical sectors remain grossly undervalued.Insurance and banks have done 50-80% of what they have for the market but ICT ,brew, pharmaceutical has not done 10%.Just watch those sectors and make your money any time from now in 2025.

I will never say any word here again until results begins to come in and until chams Q4 2024 result surfaces.

Currentprice only appear once in a while to highlight on his pointed stocks.Even though his stocks takes time to mature.There are many stocks to make money before his stocks gets ripe for rally.

Loco stock is a N15 naira stock in 2025.You can criticize but you can't deny my value.

Don't worry about me because I am going on guest mode for now.I am very much okay.

I hand over to my critics.Take control.

Naaaah I like u though. Everything I am buying right now is long term.

I don’t even need immediate gains.

I believe u die. I budgeted 5m when I became active here in August last year. 500k units of CHAMS, 1M unit of Ellah Lakes. I have Afolabi of ARADEL, thinking of switching my stake in Access to International Breweries.

Learn NB can do 100% but IB can do 300%

E be like sey Loco don sell em CHAMS. This is not looking normal

emmaodet:


.....Continued .....
What is the chances of a bear base or bull occurring?
From my observation, i will give a bear case 55%, base 45% and bull 5%
a) Bear condition = $0.05b x 0.5% = $0.0275b
b) Base condition = $0.75b x 0.45% = $0.3375b
c) Bull condition = $3.8b x 0.05% = #0.19b
Weighted avg. condition Future Market Cap = a + b + c = $0.52b x #1,600/$1 = #830b future market cap.
Can Ellah Lake really make this? and what year?
Current Ellah Lakes Market Cap is #8.4 b so from calculation above, this is roughly %5000 upside, meaning a #1m invested in Ellah lakes now, if it meets our target will give us #50m excluding dividends and bonuses.
The next question is, how many years will it take ellah lakes to achieve this target?
I will give a ellah lakes a 10 year period, that is 2035 with a moratorium of 3 years which means they won't generate revenue or profit from now till 2027 ending allowing their crops to mature and ready for harvesting and generating income.
Then from 2028 till 2035, ellah lakes must generate revenue and profit and grow their market cap on yearly basis by atleast 64% till 2035 from 2028 - can the management make this? is it achievable?
Let's do the survival Analysis of Ellah Lakes -

Their negative FCF from 2024 - 2021 = 498m - 508m - none - 3380m. This is what they have been burning into investment on yearly basis
Cash and cash equivalent from 2024 to 2021 = 230m - 916m - 237m - 323m. So they only have 6 months cash left to survive 2024, in other wodrs they need to raise loan or dilute more shares to raise capital to keep surviving.
Digging deeper, i noticed they did RI in 2024 and also did a private placement to raise more cash. Probably will be a convertible loan to equity in future.
Since we expect ellah lakes to not generate anything meaningful until 2028 and burning an average of 500m per year, we expect her to raise capital mostly through stock issuance that will last her for atleast 3 years = #1.5b worth of stocks
At #3/share of ellah lakes, an extra 750m shares would be issued to the OS of 2.75b = 3.5b by 2028
Debt raised from 2024 to 2021 = none -38m - 29m -940m
Issuance of stocks from 2024 - 2021 = 2186m - 1187m - 100m - 2200m
From our above calculation, Future Market cap by 2035 = 830b
OS by 2028 - 2035 = 3.5b
Implied price by 2035 when a venture capitalist wants to sell his shares and pull out = #237 / shares.
Can they really make it?
A #1m invested now in ellah lakes to worth 237m by 2035? 10 years from now
a 100k invested now to get 24m in 2035, is it possible?

Crazy breakdown. Nice one, but the ability to wait that long. So no prospect for profit in the next 3 yrs.

I am actually fine with that. Biggest issue is my trust in the current management, expansion as the palm oil aspect is the goldmine but they have just 2,500 Hectares of land in Edo for that.

If they acquire more land, it means they would need to wait for more years again.

I am not as grounded with figure though

ojeysky:


it's a matter of time as they say

It’s looking like a 3yrs or more wait though.

I am yet to buy in, but i intend getting quite a number

No one is saying anything about Ellah Lakes.. All so quiet about it.