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Middle East crisis — explained

Satellite images show dozens of Iranian missiles struck near Israeli air base

October 4, 202412:09 PM ET

Geoff Brumfiel, photographed for NPR, 17 January 2019, in Washington DC.
Geoff Brumfiel

Researchers counted around 32 points where missiles landed around Nevatim Airbase in southern Israel. Israel says no fighter jets were destroyed and the base continues to operate.
Researchers counted about 32 points where missiles landed around Nevatim Airbase in southern Israel. Israel says no fighter jets were destroyed and the base continues to operate.

Middlebury Institute of International Studies at Monterey/Planet Labs PBC
Researchers have used commercial satellite imagery to identify more than 30 points where Iranian missiles appear to have impacted an air base in southern Israel.

The imagery, taken by the company Planet the day after the strike, shows damaged hangars, buildings, taxiways, and a crater on one of the runways at Nevatim Airbase. Videos posted to social media showed multiple warheads striking the base during the Oct. 1 attack by Iran.

A detail of satellite imagery from the company Planet shows damage on one of the runways the day after the Iranian attack.
A detail of satellite imagery from the company Planet shows damage on one of the runways.

NPR/Planet Labs PBC
Israel and the U.S. have downplayed the attack, which Israel says consisted of roughly 180 ballistic missiles. Israel said many were intercepted by its missile defenses. Two U.S. destroyers also fired about a dozen interceptors to try and blunt the strike.

“This attack appears to have been defeated and ineffective,” U.S. national security adviser Jake Sullivan said shortly after the missiles fell.

"Our air force and air force bases remain operational," an Israeli military spokesperson, Lt. Col. Peter Lerner, said in a briefing on the social media platform X.

The Israeli military says no planes were destroyed in the attack.

A complex picture
But Jeffrey Lewis, a professor at the Middlebury Institute of International Studies at Monterey who led the analysis, says his work "complicates the picture a lot."

"We see more than 30 craters and damaged buildings," Lewis says, "suggesting that more than 30 missiles hit the base."

An image of Nevatim Airbase taken on October 2 shows damage to a hangar and a taxiway caused by Iranian missile strikes.
An image of Nevatim Airbase taken on Oct. 2 shows damage to a hangar and a taxiway caused by Iranian missile strikes.

Planet Labs PBC
Iranian missiles also struck another base, Tel Nof Airbase in central Israel, and a smaller number of missiles fell near the headquarters of Israeli's intelligence agency, known as Mossad.

Based on preliminary calculations of what happened at Nevatim, Lewis believes a substantial number of Iranian missiles may have reached their targets.

"If Nevatim is representative, that would suggest that more than half got through," he says.

Pick and choose
There are several reasons why so many Iranian missiles may have penetrated Israel's air defenses. Israel's vaunted Iron Dome missile defense system can only intercept low-flying, short-range missiles of the type used by Hezbollah and Hamas. To intercept Iran's medium-range ballistic missiles requires Israel's more powerful and expensive Arrow 2 and Arrow 3 missile defense systems.

It is possible that the Arrow system failed to perform as expected, Lewis says, but he thinks it's more likely that Israel may have decided not to defend Nevatim, in order to save its interceptors to protect population centers like Tel Aviv.

"It may be that they just don't have that many Arrow 2 and Arrow 3 missiles," Lewis says. If that were true, then "the Iranians have succeeded in overwhelming the system and the Israelis have had to pick and choose."

A view of a vehicle damaged in Tel Aviv by Iran's attack. Relatively few missiles got through to Israel's largest city, suggesting that the military may have chosen to defend it over its airbases.
A view of a vehicle damaged in Tel Aviv by Iran's attack. Relatively few missiles got through to Israel's largest city, suggesting that the military may have chosen to defend it over its air bases.

Getty Images/Anadolu
"That would be my guess," Lewis adds. "It did not look like they were trying to defend this base."

Lewis notes that although over 30 missiles landed inside the base perimeter, the damage caused was still somewhat limited. That's notable because Iran is believed to have used some of its most advanced Fattah missiles.

"Even these missiles, which look substantially more accurate, still struggled to do damage," he says.

Still, he thinks the attack has shown that Iran can strike at targets well inside Israel. "They can definitely get missiles through," he says.


https://www.npr.org/2024/10/04/nx-s1-5140058/satellite-images-dozens-iranian-missiles-struck-near-israeli-air-base

This was exactly how Hama's brought pains to their People. Till date, they're still counting their loses

While Israel hits will likely hit target and hardly will Iran intercept any

When Israel decides to hit, I'm sure they won't miss their target.

Israel Will Hit 🎯 them accurately, in coming hour's.

success4me:
Middle East crisis — explained

Satellite images show dozens of Iranian missiles struck near Israeli air base

October 4, 202412:09 PM ET

Geoff Brumfiel, photographed for NPR, 17 January 2019, in Washington DC.
Geoff Brumfiel

Researchers counted around 32 points where missiles landed around Nevatim Airbase in southern Israel. Israel says no fighter jets were destroyed and the base continues to operate.
Researchers counted about 32 points where missiles landed around Nevatim Airbase in southern Israel. Israel says no fighter jets were destroyed and the base continues to operate.

Middlebury Institute of International Studies at Monterey/Planet Labs PBC
Researchers have used commercial satellite imagery to identify more than 30 points where Iranian missiles appear to have impacted an air base in southern Israel.

The imagery, taken by the company Planet the day after the strike, shows damaged hangars, buildings, taxiways, and a crater on one of the runways at Nevatim Airbase. Videos posted to social media showed multiple warheads striking the base during the Oct. 1 attack by Iran.

A detail of satellite imagery from the company Planet shows damage on one of the runways the day after the Iranian attack.
A detail of satellite imagery from the company Planet shows damage on one of the runways.

NPR/Planet Labs PBC
Israel and the U.S. have downplayed the attack, which Israel says consisted of roughly 180 ballistic missiles. Israel said many were intercepted by its missile defenses. Two U.S. destroyers also fired about a dozen interceptors to try and blunt the strike.

“This attack appears to have been defeated and ineffective,” U.S. national security adviser Jake Sullivan said shortly after the missiles fell.

"Our air force and air force bases remain operational," an Israeli military spokesperson, Lt. Col. Peter Lerner, said in a briefing on the social media platform X.

The Israeli military says no planes were destroyed in the attack.

A complex picture
But Jeffrey Lewis, a professor at the Middlebury Institute of International Studies at Monterey who led the analysis, says his work "complicates the picture a lot."

"We see more than 30 craters and damaged buildings," Lewis says, "suggesting that more than 30 missiles hit the base."

An image of Nevatim Airbase taken on October 2 shows damage to a hangar and a taxiway caused by Iranian missile strikes.
An image of Nevatim Airbase taken on Oct. 2 shows damage to a hangar and a taxiway caused by Iranian missile strikes.

Planet Labs PBC
Iranian missiles also struck another base, Tel Nof Airbase in central Israel, and a smaller number of missiles fell near the headquarters of Israeli's intelligence agency, known as Mossad.

Based on preliminary calculations of what happened at Nevatim, Lewis believes a substantial number of Iranian missiles may have reached their targets.

"If Nevatim is representative, that would suggest that more than half got through," he says.

Pick and choose
There are several reasons why so many Iranian missiles may have penetrated Israel's air defenses. Israel's vaunted Iron Dome missile defense system can only intercept low-flying, short-range missiles of the type used by Hezbollah and Hamas. To intercept Iran's medium-range ballistic missiles requires Israel's more powerful and expensive Arrow 2 and Arrow 3 missile defense systems.

It is possible that the Arrow system failed to perform as expected, Lewis says, but he thinks it's more likely that Israel may have decided not to defend Nevatim, in order to save its interceptors to protect population centers like Tel Aviv.

"It may be that they just don't have that many Arrow 2 and Arrow 3 missiles," Lewis says. If that were true, then "the Iranians have succeeded in overwhelming the system and the Israelis have had to pick and choose."

A view of a vehicle damaged in Tel Aviv by Iran's attack. Relatively few missiles got through to Israel's largest city, suggesting that the military may have chosen to defend it over its airbases.
A view of a vehicle damaged in Tel Aviv by Iran's attack. Relatively few missiles got through to Israel's largest city, suggesting that the military may have chosen to defend it over its air bases.

Getty Images/Anadolu
"That would be my guess," Lewis adds. "It did not look like they were trying to defend this base."

Lewis notes that although over 30 missiles landed inside the base perimeter, the damage caused was still somewhat limited. That's notable because Iran is believed to have used some of its most advanced Fattah missiles.

"Even these missiles, which look substantially more accurate, still struggled to do damage," he says.

Still, he thinks the attack has shown that Iran can strike at targets well inside Israel. "They can definitely get missiles through," he says.


https://www.npr.org/2024/10/04/nx-s1-5140058/satellite-images-dozens-iranian-missiles-struck-near-israeli-air-base

My Nigeria people will argue that Iran can't do anything to Israel but even Israelis are afraid themselves that their minister of defense had to run to America for help.

We should know that before Israel became American darling, there were nations like Iraq and Iran who were ed by America in the region.

Thousands of Israelis are currently protesting against their PM to stop all forms of war especially direct confrontation with Iran because they know that while cabinet have safe bunkers, ordinary masses will be left to their fate and also sent to the fronts.

No one wants war in the Nigeria except countries like Nigeria (we will enjoy serious oil windfall)

All these your satellite search has not picked one single victim a week after.

Abeg rest. It's futile searching for what's not there.

success4me:
Middle East crisis — explained

Satellite images show dozens of Iranian missiles struck near Israeli air base

October 4, 202412:09 PM ET

Geoff Brumfiel, photographed for NPR, 17 January 2019, in Washington DC.
Geoff Brumfiel

Researchers counted around 32 points where missiles landed around Nevatim Airbase in southern Israel. Israel says no fighter jets were destroyed and the base continues to operate.
Researchers counted about 32 points where missiles landed around Nevatim Airbase in southern Israel. Israel says no fighter jets were destroyed and the base continues to operate.

...

Which researchers are there to deceive you with distorted facts and edited/AI manipulated image? Keep deceiving yourselves with manipulated and edited images. Why must you wait for satellite images before you confirmed impact of Iranian missiles on Isrealis Air Base? When Isreal kill any of the leader of hamas or Hezbollah or destroy their infrastructures, do you need satellite images before you confirm the damages? Don't you normally see how terrorists will be mourning and bury their deads? Iran just wasted money on wasted missile to Isreal, it did not even scratch anywhere in Isreal, otherwise; you would have seen frustration online from among Isrealis citizens on social media. All aircraft were already evacuated based on intelligence received before Iranian missiles to isreal just like Isreal evacuated it's citizen from the north before hamas struck a building. Hear from the oasis mouth from the link:

https://www.timesofisrael.com/after-iranian-missiles-hit-base-gallant-says-attack-didnt-even-scratch-air-force/

So, go and seat down and stop deceiving yourself. If there are casualties or magnificent damages anywhere, it can't be covered. You would have seen it through Citizens frustration and not even your fabricated and edited satellite images

sreamsense:


Which researchers are there to deceive you with distorted facts and edited/AI manipulated image? Keep deceiving yourselves with manipulated and edited images. Why must you wait for satellite images before you confirmed impact of Iranian missiles on Isrealis Air Base? When Isreal kill any of the leader of hamas or Hezbollah or destroy their infrastructures, do you need satellite images before you confirm the damages? Don't you normally see how terrorists will be mourning and bury their deads? Iran just wasted money on wasted missile to Isreal, it did not even scratch anywhere in Isreal, otherwise; you would have seen frustration online from among Isrealis citizens on social media. All aircraft were already evacuated based on intelligence received before Iranian missiles to isreal just like Isreal evacuated it's citizen from the north before hamas struck a building. Hear from the oasis mouth from the link:

https://www.timesofisrael.com/after-iranian-missiles-hit-base-gallant-says-attack-didnt-even-scratch-air-force/

So, go and seat down and stop deceiving yourself. If there are casualties or magnificent damages anywhere, it can't be covered. You would have seen it through Citizens frustration and not even your fabricated and edited satellite images

@streamsense, stop deceiving yourself, continue showing Israeli propaganda news, even Israelis knows that their so called iron dome is now penetrable unlike what was the believe before Iran missile strike. Israel itself know it's not business as usual. Let them strike Iran and see what happens next. Israel have been fighting Hamas and Hesbullah for over 30yrs now without winning, what make you think they can win Iran. Iran is the biggest Military power in the middle East. No be by mouth o.