NewStats: 3,259,559 , 8,170,505 topics. Date: Sunday, 25 May 2025 at 03:11 PM 6q6w3s

BTC vs USDT/USDC: A Game of Opposites

Just as the opposite of a girl is a boy, and the opposite of a developed nation is Nigeria and India, everything has a counterpoint.

In crypto, the opposite of BTC isn’t ETH or DOGE — it’s USDT and USDC. When money exits BTC, it doesn’t vanish. It retreats to safety — to stablecoins.

This flow tells a story. BTC is risk. USDT/USDC is shelter. So, instead of watching BTC alone, watch what happens to USDT and USDC more.

When they rise, fear is up. When they fall, risk appetite returns. This inverse behavior is one of the strongest hidden signals in the entire market.

Watch the Dominance, Not Just the Price

Stablecoin dominance (like USDT.D on TradingView) is your com. When BTC rises, USDT.D usually drops. When BTC tanks, USDT.D shoots up.

But here’s the key: USDT.D often tells the truth before BTC does. That’s why it's smarter to track stablecoins to catch tops and bottoms early, toggling the normal scale and the logarithmic scale.

You’re not just looking at prices — you’re reading capital behavior. The exits and entrances of money tell you where the crowd is going. The crowd always reveals its fear first through stablecoins, not through BTC itself.

The Three-Line Channel Rule

Draw a three-level trend channel on USDT.D. The top line is where USDT.D hits before a market top (which we have currently achieved at 107k) — money is all-in on risk.

The middle dotted line shows increasing FOMO and hopium.

The bottom line marks extreme FOMO and panic buy even though the fear and greed index will be at 89–98% at that time — this bottom line has historically hit only once. That time? A full market crash followed.

Each level acts like a "top" warning system. When USDT.D touches the bottom, prepare for an extreme top.

Apply This and Get Ahead

This isn't just theory — it's a working strategy. Study past bull runs and crashes. You'll see this channel gets hit like clockwork. Traders who ignore it rely on hope. Traders who watch it, prepare ahead. This is the inverse indicator most never learn to read.

In summary: BTC is the wave, but USDT/USDC is the tide. And the tide moves first. So always know where the money is hiding. If it’s rushing into stables, trouble’s brewing. If it’s leaving stables, a new wave may be coming.

In history, Using USDC.D + USDT.D, we have only touched the middle and bottom once, and that was in No-DJ months of November and December, 2024 and early January, 2025.

Using only USDT dominance, we touched the middle, but not the bottom in Dec 2017, June 2019, Feb 2021 and the recent one of 2024/2025.

Currently, we are at the top of the channel. Will we go to middle and bottom? That I don't know, but all I know is, I entered a short last week at 105k when it touched the top.

If I notice it's going for the middle line, I'll hedge my short and enter another short when it hits the middle dotted line. I'll repeat till it gets to the bottom line.

Deep down, I know we may attempt the middle and it'll be used as a fake out to dump. I'm not betting on the bottom one — that's too extreme, but the middle, yes.

If you flip the USDT dominance chart into log scale, you'll see we have a long way to go to hit the dotted white or red line. The moment we hit any of those, especially around September, November or December, that's the final end.

You will be waiting for alt season and you will just see big giant ass out of nowhere candle ,all charts ,are skepticism will vanish , you will be scrambling to take profit if you have position ,fomo will hit those on the sidelines.

armadeo:


Chai I saw it at the top. This market is scary. If I shorted there it would have gone to 112k.

Lol. As I didn't short it came back to 103k.

No, it is not you, it's me. Ever since I entered crypto, 4 years circle don go.
They said weekend pumps are not real since there is little liquidity.

armadeo:


You no see that graceglory arrow. There's hades somewhere.

Yes, It means we're selling in May and going away, but what exactly are we selling? Liabilities?
I’m genuinely expecting a drop this May. I mean, with how stressed everyone is right now, how are they not going to take off for summer vacation?

Chikacha:


No, it is not you, it's me. Ever since I entered crypto, 4 years circle don go.
They said weekend pumps are not real since there is little liquidity.

Loooool. I feel you brother.

Chikacha:

Yes, It means we're selling in May and going away, but what exactly are we selling? Liabilities?
I’m genuinely expecting a drop this May. I mean, with how stressed everyone is right now, how are they not going to take off for summer vacation?

I no dey sell anything. Make e vanish instead. All or nothing.

Chikacha:

Yes, It means we're selling in May and going away, but what exactly are we selling? Liabilities?
I’m genuinely expecting a drop this May. I mean, with how stressed everyone is right now, how are they not going to take off for summer vacation?

So the wait for altseason is over?

iLegendd:
In history, we have only touched the middle and bottom once, and that was in No-DJ months of November and December, 2024 and early January, 2025.

Currently, we are at the top of the channel. Will we go to middle and bottom? That I don't know, but all I know is, I entered a short last week at 105k when it touched the top.

If I notice it's going for the middle line, I'll hedge my short and enter another short when it hits the middle dotted line. I'll repeat till it gets to the bottom line.

Deep down, I know we may attempt the middle and it'll be used as a fake out to dump. I'm not betting on the bottom one — that's too extreme.

Legend earlier you talked about QE being expected in June, (next month) please is it confirmed now.

armadeo:


I no dey sell anything. Make e vanish instead. All or nothing.

I'm telling you, make them turn to dust instead. Now that we are sure that even Trump is playing the market..

maybet081:


So the wait for altseason is over?

No, there will definitely be a massive alt season and the bullrun may extend to next year... but in the 4 years circle, people are often out on vacation around this time, the narrative is that this year will be different and I am having a confirmation bias because people are more stressed this year

GRACEGLORY:



10:44am On Apr 06, 2024

Just so you know, there's an ongoing proposition for The Marianas (United States) US Dollar (MUSD) stablecoin to be minted on the eCash (XEC) blockchain, the MUSD is designed to be fully backed by cash and U.S. Treasury bills


IF THAT PROPOSITION PULLS THROUGH.


https://cointelegraph.com/news/tinian-stablecoin-bill-comeback-mariana-senate-override-veto

PROPOSITION PULLED THROUGH.

reminds me of the first country (Elsavador) that adopted BTC...

Ballzproblem2:
You will be waiting for alt season and you will just see big giant ass out of nowhere candle ,all charts ,are skepticism will vanish , you will be scrambling to take profit if you have position ,fomo will hit those on the sidelines.

Hence... I advise,
Stay 75% in stocks, 25% in USDT

Ballzproblem2:
You will be waiting for alt season and you will just see big giant ass out of nowhere candle ,all charts ,are skepticism will vanish , you will be scrambling to take profit if you have position ,fomo will hit those on the sidelines.

Hence it's called the game of luck 🤞

BTroMax:


Hence it's called the game of luck 🤞

In such a time, your SL or TP is your savior?

We always pray 🙏 our should see the next day.🎯

GRACEGLORY:




Hence... I advise,
Stay 75% in stocks, 25% in USDT

💯

Is there a way to invest in USDT Dominance?

iLegendd:
BTC vs USDT/USDC: A Game of Opposites

Just as the opposite of a girl is a boy, and the opposite of a developed nation is Nigeria and India, everything has a counterpoint.

In crypto, the opposite of BTC isn’t ETH or DOGE — it’s USDT and USDC. When money exits BTC, it doesn’t vanish. It retreats to safety — to stablecoins.

This flow tells a story. BTC is risk. USDT/USDC is shelter. So, instead of watching BTC alone, watch what happens to USDT and USDC more.

When they rise, fear is up. When they fall, risk appetite returns. This inverse behavior is one of the strongest hidden signals in the entire market.

Watch the Dominance, Not Just the Price

Stablecoin dominance (like USDT.D on TradingView) is your com. When BTC rises, USDT.D usually drops. When BTC tanks, USDT.D shoots up.

But here’s the key: USDT.D often tells the truth before BTC does. That’s why it's smarter to track stablecoins to catch tops and bottoms early, toggling the normal scale and the logarithmic scale.

You’re not just looking at prices — you’re reading capital behavior. The exits and entrances of money tell you where the crowd is going. The crowd always reveals its fear first through stablecoins, not through BTC itself.

The Three-Line Channel Rule

Draw a three-level trend channel on USDT.D. The top line is where USDT.D hits before a market top (which we have currently achieved at 107k) — money is all-in on risk.

The middle dotted line shows increasing FOMO and hopium.

The bottom line marks extreme FOMO and panic buy even though the fear and greed index will be at 89–98% at that time — this bottom line has historically hit only once. That time? A full market crash followed.

Each level acts like a "top" warning system. When USDT.D touches the bottom, prepare for an extreme top.

Apply This and Get Ahead

This isn't just theory — it's a working strategy. Study past bull runs and crashes. You'll see this channel gets hit like clockwork. Traders who ignore it rely on hope. Traders who watch it, prepare ahead. This is the inverse indicator most never learn to read.

In summary: BTC is the wave, but USDT/USDC is the tide. And the tide moves first. So always know where the money is hiding. If it’s rushing into stables, trouble’s brewing. If it’s leaving stables, a new wave may be coming.

kart042000:
Is there a way to invest in USDT Dominance?

my advice to you is just enter a trade when the market is 1 or 2% up, throw your usdt in it with a minimum of 3x and have patience like you trading long term stocks.

Below is a picture of the example of what I had just explained to you. I am actively doing what I just preached to you.

Prepare for the week!

maybet081:


Legend earlier you talked about QE being expected in June, (next month) please is it confirmed now.

News from the US projected June as the month, so I'm hopeful of that.

BTroMax:


Hence it's called the game of luck sportybet 2.0 🤞

Una well-done

iLegendd:


News from the US projected June as the month, so I'm hopeful of that.

Alright

SeeWahala:


Una well-done

🤣🤣🤣

There's an ongoing vote for The first-of-its-kind legislation, known as the GENIUS Act, would create a regulatory framework for stablecoins — a type of cryptocurrency tied to the value of an asset like the U.S. dollar.

GRACEGLORY:
There's an ongoing vote for The first-of-its-kind legislation, known as the GENIUS Act, would create a regulatory framework for stablecoins — a type of cryptocurrency tied to the value of an asset like the U.S. dollar.

If the vote es, crypto becomes legal tender, notwithstanding who's happy or sad, who wants or not.

GRACEGLORY:
There's an ongoing vote for The first-of-its-kind legislation, known as the GENIUS Act, would create a regulatory framework for stablecoins — a type of cryptocurrency tied to the value of an asset like the U.S. dollar.

BTC ATH, if GENIUS Act es.

sweetveek:
wahala for this market, you close short position, market begin dump

Wassup?

Are u still shorting? 🤣🤣😕

I would have been in regrets is I had allowed my Jasmy short and Ethereum short to keep running

Check all the profits would have been evaporated!


Btc is beginning to give bullish vibes

As I always post if it doesn’t go like this, it will go like this…

This is the method I am using to trade, and I make everything public


But that I understand my pattern!
And I know how to go about it.


If I like, let me switch between bullish and bearish many times, I’ll use my method and navigate the waters of the market with my trades :.



Trade and Think like a champion with market direction by Alexas58

GRACEGLORY:



If the vote es, crypto becomes legal tender, notwithstanding who's happy or sad, who wants or not.

As at this morning, the Vote is 60 for, and 30 against. Not the final.
This vote when ed, shall cause disruptions, and turn most bags worthless.

GRACEGLORY:




As at this morning, the Vote is 60 for, and 30 against. Not the final.
This vote when ed, shall cause disruptions, and turn most bags worthless.

CRV is still cheap, who knows may be cheaper during the disruptions due to fear, but once the GENIUS Act is ed, stablecoins become legal tender, Curve’s role as a stablecoin liquidity hub would drive more volume, potentially increasing demand for CRV for governance, staking, and boosting. And due to its cheap price, it could pull a SOL stunt.