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2027: Coalition Plots Atiku For One Term, Obi As VP, Obidients disagree - Politics - Nairaland 262p2q

2027: Coalition Plots Atiku For One Term, Obi As VP, Obidients disagree (16164 Views)

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iwaeda: 8:54am On Apr 20
The Nigerian political atmosphere is awash with speculation about the 2027 presidential election, particularly as it concerns a potential alliance involving former Vice President Atiku Abubakar and Labour Party’s 2023 presidential candidate, Mr. Peter Obi.

Atiku first hinted about the alliance in 2024 after what he described as a “friendly meeting” with Obi sparked speculations.

He, however, confirmed the coalition talks in an interview with the BBC Hausa. “Yes, it’s very much possible. We can merge to achieve a common goal. So, it’s possible and nothing can stop it if we so wish to achieve that,” Atiku was quoted to have said.

The latest rumour around the alliance was ignited by the former vice president’s visit to former President Muhammadu Buhari in Kaduna penultimate Friday.

On the list of those who accompanied Atiku to see Buhari were known political actors and gladiators, including a former Governor of Kaduna State, Malam Nasir El Rufai; a former Speaker of the House of Representatives, who was also the former Governor of Sokoto State, and now a senator, Aminu Tambuwal; a former Governor of Adamawa State, Senator Bindu Jibrila; a former Governor of Benue State, Senator Gabriel Suswan, and a former Governor of Imo State, Chief Achike Udenwa.

However, the meeting, according to reports which was first carried by theeagleonline.com and confirmed to Sunday Vanguard by multiple sources close to the alliance, was not just a Sallah visit as claimed by the Atiku media team.

The sources at that meeting said behind the scenes was a meeting to tell Buhari what plans have been put in place ahead of the 2027 elections and get his .

Before Atiku’s visit, some All Progressives Congress, APC, governors had also visited the former President.

Sunday Vanguard gathered that part of the fallout from that visit by the governors was the fact that some of them were already discussing the possibility of taking out the Congress for Progressive Change, C, the platform on which Buhari ran for presidential election three times and did not make it, and which was among the political parties that formed the APC, out of the ruling party at the federal level.

The permutation is that the C arm of the APC is going to be useful for the coming election. For those who are reading into the political scene ahead of the 2027 elections, the feeling is that these two visits are interwoven, though done separately.

It was gathered that those who went to see Buhari are now ready to set up a structure that they believe can defeat the incumbent President and his party. According to the coalition proponents, with the right structure in place, it is possible to successfully challenge Tínubu in the election in 2027, citing alleged lopsided appointments, worsening security situation, alleged anti-people policies, frequent travels out of the country, and the internal crisis in APC as reasons.

Lagos
They are of the opinion, according to sources, that if Obi could win Tínubu in Lagos when the APC in the state was a one bunch, it would be a walkover now that the party is in disarray following the way the President handled the Speaker Mudashiru Obasa and State House of Assembly crisis which has polarized the party in the state.

Obi, in the 2023 election, got 582,454 votes in Lagos in what was considered a massive upset while Tínubu scored 572,606 votes.

The thinking is that this will likely repeat itself, and most likely on a wider margin in 2027.

The impending alliance between Atiku and Obi presents an interesting dynamic in the lead-up to the next election and, if realized, it could significantly alter the political landscape of the country.

The Plan
According to sources, Atiku is planning to run for President with Obi as his running mate, leveraging their combined strengths to challenge Tinubu.

This alliance, it was learnt, aims to capitalize on Atiku’s influence in the North and Obi’s appeal in the South-East, potentially creating a formidable opposition force against the ruling APC.

Another point believed to be working for the alliance is the fact that a lot of people in the North are already disenchanted with the government of the day.

This has been reechoed by the apex socio-political group in the North, the Arewa Consultative Forum, ACF, which has clearly expressed its displeasure with the way the country is being governed by Tínubu.

With the ill-feelings towards Tínubu in the North, Sunday Vanguard learnt that Atiku had been assured of the backing of the ACF ahead of the 2027 polls.

And with the ACF and its structure readily available for Atiku, it is certain he will gather more and votes from the North this time around.

Sharing Agreement
A key aspect of this plan is a reported power-sharing agreement, where Atiku would serve one term (2027-2031) and then hand over to Obi, who would serve two as President.

Analysts believe that with Obi’s remarkable appeal and acceptability, particularly among young Nigerians, and with some of the philanthropy that he has done across the country, especially in the North, an alliance with Atiku could provide him with a stronger political platform and access to broader resources.

This arrangement is said to be part of the negotiations between the two leaders.

They are looking in the direction of the North for greater than they got in the 2023 election.

Party Platform
With the LP and PDP enmeshed in self-inflicted crisis, the pair is reportedly considering using either the C or the Social Democratic Party (SDP) as their platform.

It is alleged that Atiku and his group have decided to abandon the PDP to the Minister of the Federal Capital Territory, FCT, Nyesom Wike, who has been accused of creating problems for the party in order to serve the APC’s interest.

The C, being one of the parties that merged to form the APC, might offer a strategic advantage, while the SDP has shown potential with its recent activities. Recall that El Rufai, who was on the trip to visit Buhari, has moved into the SDP. A source close to the former Kaduna governor revealed that the SDP’s national leader who was the presidential candidate of the party in 2023, has said he would not contest the 2027 presidency if he sees a good presidential material.

Strategic calculations
The Atiku-Obi alliance is built on several strategic calculations such as regional balance, diverse base, and opposition to APC.

Combining Atiku’s northern influence with Obi’s South-Eastern appeal could create a strong regional balance.

Therefore, it is believed that merging their bases might attract a broader coalition of voters.

The alliance also aims to challenge the APC’s dominance, capitalizing on growing discontent with the current government.

Political analysts are already tinkering with the figures.

They have combined the votes of Atiku and Obi in 2023 to arrive at the conclusion that it is possible to beat the incumbent.

Nigeria has a total of 93,469,008 voters. In 2023, the turnout was just 26.71 percent of that figure. While Tínubu won in 12 states with 8,794,726 votes, which is about 36.61 percent of votes, Atiku also took 12 states with 6,984,520 votes, which is about 29.07 percent of the votes, and Obi won in 11 states, technically 12, because he also won in the FCT, with 6,101,533 votes, which is 25.40 percent of the votes cast.

Combining Atiku and Obi’s votes amounted to about 13,086,000 votes whereas Tínubu had 8,794,726 votes. The calculation is that Atiku and Obi can get more votes with the perceived poor performance of the present istration.

Concerns
Much as this alliance seems to present beautiful opportunities, it also faces challenges. Differences in ideology and ambition might lead to internal conflicts.

Again, the choice of party platform and power-sharing agreement might face opposition from within their parties or from other aspirants.

Implications
The alliance could pose a significant challenge to the ruling APC, especially if internal conflicts within the party persist. Also, the success of the alliance would depend on its ability to resonate with voters, addressing pressing national issues and offering a compelling alternative to the incumbent government.

The alliance might lead to a realignment of political forces, with potential defections from other parties and shifts in voter loyalty.

No threats
But those backing the President have dismissed the perceived threats posed by the potential coalition with the wave of hand.

Reacting to the visit of Atiku’s group to Buhari via his X handle, a presidential spokesperson, Daniel Bwala, said: “There is nothing these oppositions under the auspices of coalition for a wild goose chase cannot try to do to keep relevance.

“They went to meet @MBuhari and it was reported that he insisted the meeting be held in or on camera so that El Rufai would not go and say Buhari is ing SDP and PDP.

“Hard as they try, they are still struggling to convince Nigerians that they have any plan at all, needless alternative plan.”

‘Obidients’ disagree
Meanwhile, of the Obidients movement, the campaign structure of the LP presidential candidate in the last election populated mostly by young Nigerians, said they would not be part of any alliance if Obi is not its flag bearer.

They maintained that any arrangements without Obi as the presidential candidate is dead on arrival, saying Atiku should the former Anambra governor.

According to them, Atiku cannot be in the race when the South hasn’t completed its eight years. So, it would be wise for him to step down for Obi.

One of those pushing this narrative is Samuel Ajayi, a self-professed Obidient.
According him, “If we’ve done Atiku/Obi and it didn’t work, why can’t we do Obi/Atiku? Don’t be emotional about this.

“The fact still remains that aside from the competence and character that Peter Obi has, he is still the most inspiring among all the candidates to unseat Tínubu.”Another proponent of this narrative is Jonathan Ajere, who said: “Atiku should do all he can to get Peter Obi on board. “But, he should either consider being Obi’s running mate or completely step aside and Obi wholeheartedly. “This is because any attempt to field any northern candidate when the South has not completed its eight years is going to be counter-productive.

“It will be an express ride for Tinubu to a second term on a platter of gold.

”So, what Atiku and northern oligarchy need to do if they want Tinubu out of office in 2027 is to a southern candidate and there is no candidate in South that has massive appeal and acceptability across Nigeria like Obi as of today.


“So, if Atiku listens to this voice of reason, the 2027 elections will be a walkover for the coalition. The coalition is what the APC guys dread so much. That’s why they are crying against it in pretence.”

As politicking for the 2027 general elections thickens, the success of the coalition would depend on various factors, including the ability to maintain internal cohesion, appeal to a broad voter base and effectively challenge the incumbent government.

If successful, it could significantly impact the outcome of the 2027 presidential election.

https://www.vanguardngr.com/2025/04/2027-obidients-take-stand-as-coalition-plots-atiku-for-one-term-peter-obi-as-vp/

7 Likes 5 Shares

Salewa97: 8:59am On Apr 20
One term Atiku will still beat Obi in 2027 election.

Atiku is the best president we never had.

109 Likes 7 Shares

ObosiLandlord(m): 9:02am On Apr 20
iwaeda:
The Nigerian political atmosphere is awash with speculation about the 2027 presidential election, particularly as it concerns a potential alliance involving former Vice President Atiku Abubakar and Labour Party’s 2023 presidential candidate, Mr. Peter Obi.



https://www.vanguardngr.com/2025/04/2027-obidients-take-stand-as-coalition-plots-atiku-for-one-term-peter-obi-as-vp/
So nah under which party dey go contest?

88 Likes 1 Share

Tigernut101: 9:02am On Apr 20
Obi for president
El-Rufi for Vice president
These guys can defeat Tinubu even before the election result is announced.

31 Likes 9 Shares

Amotolongbo(f): 9:04am On Apr 20
Salewa97:
One term Atiku will still beat Obi in 2027 election.

Atiku is the best president we never had.
This would have been said about Buhari if we did not give him the chance.

All na scam

106 Likes 8 Shares

SoftSport(m): 9:04am On Apr 20
Lol, this atiku-obi alliance gist is juicy but let’s be real, without Obi leading, obidients won’t buy it and honestly Tinubu is still steps ahead in this political chess game.

52 Likes 3 Shares

Jostoman: 9:06am On Apr 20
APC keep guessing

17 Likes 2 Shares

VnAhunnaPl: 9:08am On Apr 20
Obidients are not taking any stand.

88 Likes 1 Share

Philipponzaghi: 9:08am On Apr 20
The above headline is a bait. The body is different from the headline.

Obidients, Atiku and Peter Obi as a coalition in 2027 is a pure joke

70 Likes 1 Share

REDshouse(m): 9:09am On Apr 20
Atiku/Obi again is Dead on Arrival...

23 Likes 1 Share

mrvitalis(m): 9:12am On Apr 20
It's a very interesting proposal... I'm certainly not against it

My interest is economy so that my business can thrive and both obi and atiku have similar ideology... Less infrastructure more business ... So it's not bad

10 Likes 3 Shares

Thiefobi1: 9:20am On Apr 20
Old men keep wasting their time.

Atiku 80yrs, obi 65 what are they still looking for.

Youth below 55yrs show be allowed to leads not all these old expired people.

16 Likes 2 Shares

Warrior99: 9:20am On Apr 20
Peter Obi will NEVER be president, he won't even smell the seat of the VP.

Write it down ✍🏾

70 Likes 7 Shares

surgical: 9:21am On Apr 20
Amotolongbo:
This would have been said about Buhari if we did not give him the chance.

All na scam
Even Tinubu, we would not have known he is such a disaster
They would have continued with their lies of he built Lagos, he was not allowed to build Nigeria, meanwhile the reality is that he just a greedy opportunitist

21 Likes 3 Shares

jmoore(m): 9:23am On Apr 20
Only a clown will believe that Peter Obi will be running mate to anyone again.

If he doesn't win 2027 election as a president, he will retire from politics. He is not a career politician.

10 Likes

HenryWilliams(m): 9:26am On Apr 20
If they field Obi as President and a well educated, politically mature reasonable Northerner as Vice..the election would be over by 12noon.
The hatred people have for Tinubu and APC can't be fathomed..
He is the very definition of corruption, nepotism and sleeze. The North definitely won't him in 2027, he can say goodbye to SE and some portions of SS.
There's no way he'll get majority votes in Lagos ever again with the way he rubbished the LSHA.
A coalition will definitely tear that druggie away from power.. they have less than two years to get their permutations right.

18 Likes 4 Shares

helinues: 9:26am On Apr 20
grin cheesy

If the coalition like, let them present 3 candidates, President, Vice president and deputy vice president, Dem go receive beating in 2027 combined.

We are ahead of una Asiwaju

43 Likes

Mabuggi88: 9:37am On Apr 20
Salewa97:
One term Atiku will still beat Obi in 2027 election.

Atiku is the best president we never had.
BoT of misyan

8 Likes

Mabuggi88: 9:38am On Apr 20
helinues:
grin cheesy

If the coalition like, let them present 3 candidates, President, Vice president and deputy vice president, Dem go receive beating in 2027 combined.

We are ahead of una Asiwaju
Talk about people's welfare not 2027 haba. Why are you so interested in 2027 instead of how Nigeria will bounce back to at least early 2023 period

5 Likes 2 Shares

helinues: 9:39am On Apr 20
Mabuggi88:

Talk about people's welfare not 2027 haba. Why are you so interested in 2027 instead of how Nigeria will bounce back to at least early 2023 period

You are probably on the wrong thread

57 Likes 2 Shares

ajailer(m): 9:45am On Apr 20
Polictics being a game of interest is the reason why nobody should think that Atiku after all his strategizing and meetings will now step down for Obi. Let the opposition stop deluding themselves, Atiku is not stepping down for no one, he wants to be a president too.

At the end, all I see is an Atiku/Obi ticket and for those thinking Atiku will honor a one term agreement, you are all babies, na Obi go loose out finally....... but all these sef is based on if they can win in 2027 which I don't think they can.

22 Likes 3 Shares

JagabanBorgu: 9:48am On Apr 20
mrvitalis:
It's a very interesting proposal... I'm certainly not against it

My interest is economy so that my business can thrive and both obi and atiku have similar ideology... Less infrastructure more business ... So it's not bad
Another dèàd ideoIogy.

48 Likes

jmoore(m): 9:50am On Apr 20
helinues:
grin cheesy

If the coalition like, let them present 3 candidates, President, Vice president and deputy vice president, Dem go receive beating in 2027 combined.

We are ahead of una Asiwaju
No be to beat opposition be the main point. Can he beat ebinpawa. high inflation, poverty, insecurity? He just traveling from one country to another while TINUBULATION is wrecking disaster all over the country.

7 Likes 3 Shares

ogaemma: 9:53am On Apr 20
Honestly speaking,
Atiku will be better than the Paris burger who could not move the country forward since 2023.
Nigeria keep going from bad to worst.

4 Likes 2 Shares

MichaelSokoto(m): 10:16am On Apr 20
anything but dis current paris citizen on seat abeg!

I ready vote fly sef!
lipsrsealed

2 Likes

tundegan: 11:18am On Apr 20
The price of yam is now 1k, the price of rice is now 300 per cup.

The price of the former president Atiku Abubakar is now 500k.
fergie001: 12:46pm On Apr 20
Anybody saying he will do one term is "Tales by moonlight."

17 Likes 1 Share

iwaeda: 1:10pm On Apr 20
fergie001:
Anybody saying he will do one term is "Tales by moonlight."
By his age he can't even do more than one term. grin grin grin

2 Likes

fergie001: 1:32pm On Apr 20
iwaeda:

By his age he can't even do more than one term. grin grin grin
How many years is he compared to the former and present ones there grin

Na the same age bracket dem dey grin

4 Likes

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