NewStats: 3,264,719 , 8,184,509 topics. Date: Thursday, 12 June 2025 at 07:46 AM 6d6k5m

2027: SOUTH WEST, TINUBU'S ERS PLAYING WITH FIRE - Part 1

It is actually premature to be talking about 2027 elections less than 2 years into our first tenure, but what is happening in the political arena is forcing me to speak to it, for as they say, 'a stitch in time saves nine'.

As an APC member, I naturally would want my party to win re-election in 2027.

However, as a realist, I have my concerns.

I recall that during the 2019 party Primaries, when I saw the way our party was handling the Primaries, I wrote that if the party wasn't careful, it could go the way of the PDP which lost power after 16 years.

I predicted then that if we didn't return to our promised progressive path and ideology and instead stayed obsessed with just winning elections at any and all cost, just like the PDP, we could lose power at the federal level by 2031.

When I wrote that, we were not faced with the current situation we are faced with. Indeed, I never imagined that we would be in the current situation any time soon, surely not under President Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu.

Note: I am not talking about the present economic situation and the likes. I am talking about the current and increasing 'ghaghagha' in our party and among APC and ers of the PBAT istration.

Incidentally, many Nigerians have a short memory. Permit me to juggle the memories of some short memoried and uninitiated political neophytes.

Many will recall that, as we approached the 2023 presidential election, with the conduct of some individuals, I desperately cautioned that we should be careful and not play with the North. Somehow, common sense prevailed, and we succeeded, unarguably and undeniably with the unquantifiable help of the North (the records of the election results prove so).

Less than 2 years into the tenure, we are witnesses to how the relationship between the North and President Bola Tinubu or rather his istration is quickly deteriorating, driven by the words and conduct of unfortunately, many from the President’s geopolitical zone and tribe. Truth be told.

I have read and heard the arrogant posturing and braggadacio by some people who I refer to as political rabble ros, but I get more worried each day as it keeps looking more and more like a movie we had seen before.

May I remind some persons that, more than the performance or lack thereof of the President Goodluck Ebele Jonathan istration, it was his attitude, and that of people around him, towards the North that ultimately brought him down and by extension the PDP that had boasted that it would rule Nigeria for 60 years.

In the lead up to the 2015 Presidential election, inspite of the popularity of General Muhammadu Buhari Rtd and the gathering of political heavyweights under the umbrella of the then newly formed APC, one key factor that led to former President Jonathan and the PDP losing that election was underestimating the North and the disrespect and insult directed towards to North, notably led by the then first lady and accentuated by elements from the South South geopolitical zone and particularly his Ijaw kinsmen, many of them with little or no political weight and many of whom were living full time in NICON and Sheraton hotels Abuja then (with newly found free money).

Funny enough, many of these individuals contributed little or nothing to Jonathan's victory in 2011.

Indeed, many of them forgot that it was the agitation by groups like the Save Nigeria Group (SNG), spearheaded by the likes of Pastor Tunde Bakare, Mallam Nasir El-Rufai, Mr Yinka Odumakin (RIP) and co that eventually led to then VP Goodluck Jonathan becoming the acting President in the first place following the incapacitation of former President Shehu Musa Yaradua (God rest his soul).

2027: SOUTH WEST, TINUBU'S ERS PLAYING WITH FIRE - Part 2

Driven by ego and the arrogance of power, these South South and PDP elements increasingly and I dare add naively went against the North, where the PDP still had considerable influence and then, in the most condescending manner and in so doing gradually lost the of the North to the advantage of Buhari and the APC coalition. The rest, as they say, is history.

Today, as I Iook at the rambunctiousness of some APC and fellow ers of President Bola Tinubu, especially from the south west geopolitical zone, I wonder if people have any sense of history and if they truly understand Nigerian politics.

I read some people say that President Tinubu is not former President Jonathan, Jagaban is a political juggernaut and master strategist, etc. All that I totally agree with. No question whatsoever. However, politics is not a one champion show.

While fPGEJ lacked equivalent political gravitas and sophistication (with all due respect to him) as PBAT, he had the then formidable PDP behemoth which could have actually seen him through but for the grievous 'political mistake' of messing with the North.

Love or loathe that fact, the North remains the kingmaker in Nigerian politics, at least, as of today. Any politician or political party that plays with that reality might pay a steep political price for it.

People who ignore history are bound to fall victim and to repeat mistakes of the past.

I just want to prod our political senses, in case some of us are forgetting, in the euphoria of tribal and geopolitical politics.

I hope better sense will prevail and soon too. It is whom you love that you chastise.

In all, I continue to wish PBAT and my party, the APC well.

With almost exactly two years to the month to the 2027 general elections, let's focus and continue to deliver the promised dividends of democracy to Nigerians.

#GodBlessNigeria

©️ Uche Diala


10th February 2025

https://x.com/elrufai/status/1889248200399167887

All this noise won't stop President Tinubu from winning his 2027 reelection 💯 it will be an easypesy😎

APC will surely scatter in 2027 insha Allah

While fPGEJ lacked equivalent political gravitas and sophistication (with all due respect to him) as PBAT, he had the then formidable PDP behemoth which could have actually seen him through but for the grievous 'political mistake' of messing with the North.

Love or loathe that fact, the North remains the kingmaker in Nigerian politics, at least, as of today. Any politician or political party that plays with that reality might pay a steep political price for it

This wasnt necessary at all

Nigeria is bigger than us all and Tinubu aint GEJ

Since no SW politician has ever come out to say shit about the North, even since Rufai started ranting, then Rufai himself should look beyond Twitter and Ignore online banter....He should only respond to political heavyweights that attack him



Again, Tinubu aint GEJ and 2027 is too far for all these

Nlfpmod, let me laugh ahead.

Let thunder strike this APC party to shreds. Evil people, punishing the people with negative vices and politics.

Let them play the politics and let the best player win.
The poster below that wrote that things have come down. It's either he's not really informed as Nigerian in Nigeria or he's not a Nigerian.

I have a 65"TCL Google Android Smart 4K TV for 450K Urgent sales.
In perfect working condition, with carton and accessories. Barely used.9015629108 within Lagos and nearby area.

Prices of all products and services has astronomically increased, yet some APC ers are still ing the government. It is ridiculous for some people to evil leaders who have no conscience at all.

Lol... Tinubu will win landslide in 2027.

Don't even bother your heads arguing this.

The election he could and should have lost was 2023 when Buhari was in office and they were not even in good .

The only thing that will make an incumbent lose is if he is no longer interested, like Jonathan in 2015.

A

At dis point in our nation, any sane adult should’ve realized that it is country 1st before party if we must survive.

And water. BTW, what is the exact meaning of messing with the North? Is balance messing with the North? Is solving insecurity challenges messing with the North? Is tax reforms to benefit Nigeria messing with the North? Is laughing at losers gather together to cry messing with the North?
Anyho, my own dear mission is for a law to be made to shoot at sight any coward that will come out to tell us zobo after any of Nigeria's problems have died. i don't want to hear the real story of June 12 or TheBells or some fancy nonsense after OBJ or Buhari or IBB or even Abdulsalami, Gowon and Atiku dies. They are all alive now everyone is smiling. It's when they die someone will come out to release book or loot.

Well scripted. If you like fall for it, na your head Dem go break the coconut

Ok

I dont care if Tinubu wins re-election or not.

What i care about is that PDP should never ever be given opportunity to rule Nigeria again.

The major opposition should come together now and form a new party with new ideology before its too late.

And i am sure you know Tinubu is not Jonathan. Whatever the opposition wants to do, they have to start it now......

This govt is too political, relegating governance

Do you believe Tinubu's body language indicates a desire to extend his tenure beyond 2027?
Contrary to popular belief, Tinubu has no intention of reelection, though he will contest.
His primary focus is on accumulating immense wealth.

make everybody hold on for one minute

All these bullshit to boast d Igbo ego, those who can't stop tinubu in his first term can't stop him now

DatNiggaDaz:

And they've been suffering since..... especially Helinues as he has resorted to being a foodstuffs thief just to feed!

You Mean These ers?

Time will tell.





i hate APC

It is visible to the blind and audible to the deaf. The writing is also clear on the wall that Tinubu will get zero vote in the north come 2027, especially after raining insults on highly revered northern elites like HRM Sanusi Lamido Sanusi, Mallam Nasir El-Rufai, Rabiu Musa Kwankwaso, Atiku Abubakar, etc, by his kinsmen and paid online trolls.

Funny thing is, because he ran a Muslim - Muslim ticket and won against all odds, Tinubu thinks he can win the 2027 elections without northern , because he is a "master strategist". Reason he has been arrogant to the northern oligarchy and not remorseful of his arrogance.

What do I even know than to remind you all that T-pain has less than 837 days to handover power to the next person

GardenOfGod:
Prices of all products and services has astronomically increased, yet some APC ers are still ing the government. It is ridiculous for some people to evil leaders who have no conscience at all.

don't b an idiot

Virtually all things have come down n Igbos ain't shouting, d rice that u Igbo cry about the most don come down ooo

Which other noise?

gf

...

The North ain't no fkin king makers.....if they were,why did buhari not win Obj in the early 2000s? Why did GEJ win 2011?

Its just you yorubas who worship the north,what a shame

I no fit chuk mouth for family affairs

Interesting.

My prediction:

The only coalition which might remove Tinubu must have the same elements of the one that removed Jonathan.

What I think will remove Tinubu:
1. All opposition must come together and form a new party. ElRufai, Atiku, Obi, Kwankwaso, Amaechi, Fayemi, Fayose, etc.

2. They must start NOW and the party ASAP. 2 years togetherness will give a good fight.

3. Presenting a northerner will not go well with some southerners, so, a southerner as the president and his vice from the north can fight well.

4. Number 3 above is tricky, and this is where wahala dey because the north will not accept a Southerner who will go for another 8 years. And no one can be trusted to do only one term.

5. So, if they really want to play save, the ONLY man qualified based on 4 above is Ex President Goodluck Jonathan. Obi cannot have the of the north because of this reason. Never. Jonathan is the man. He cannot win election by himself, but when all hands lift him up, he will win.

6. If the president is south, ElRufai is the only candidate the north can bank on to take power. He is the right vice presidential candidate.

7. The process must go through a real primary where all contestants must be willing to accept defeat.

8. The main stumbling block is Atiku who will buy the whole delegates, therefore, another Tinubu is needed to spend money vigorously to defeat Atiku. The is the next main hurdle because Atiku is a spoiler. If he can beat Wike in of giving out money, then, you should know the kind of money Tinubu spent. And Atiku himself itted many years before the election that the only politician who has money is Tinubu. That man is damn rich. Na potato for someone to move in bullion van to his residence during election?

The hurdles opposition must jump is too high. One of the highest hurdle is Atiku. That man is a burden to any party he is in. Trust me. That man is the wrongest politician to . Unfortunately, he is the one with the cash.

I think the incumbent still has the capacity to win 2027 with "grab it and run away" strategy coupled with dishing out dollars. I may be wrong.

Summary:

Jonathan, as the flag bearer of a new party formed with Elrufai as vice president and they must win a real primary election, has a chance of defeating Tinubu if they have enough campaign funds.