• CBN stops daily cash reserve debits for banks; adopts new framework
• Naira sustains rally after apex bank’s intervention
• FG raises exchange rate for cargo clearance to N1,356/$
The Federal Ministry of Finance and the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) are working on fresh initiatives to rescue the naira, according to hints yesterday.
The Finance Minister and Coordinating Minister for the Economy, Mr. Wale Edun, yesterday met with CBN Governor Olayemi Cardoso and Economic and Financial Crimes Commission (EFCC) Chairman Ola Olukoyede to strategise on stabilising the beleaguered currency.
This occurred on a day the naira sustained its rally against the dollar, closing at N1,440 at the parallel market. The rate represents a N10 gain from the N1,450 to dollar recorded on Thursday.
But apparently not satisfied with the exchange rate, the trio launched into a meeting in Abuja yesterday to discuss ways of shoring up the naira.
Details of the meeting were not immediately available, but the Federal Ministry of Finance in a terse statement on its X handle said: “This afternoon at Finance HQ, HM Finance & Coordinating Minister for the Economy, Wale Edun, EFCC Chairman Ola Olukoyede @officialEFCC and CBN Governor Olayemi Cardoso @cenbank, engaged in a strategic discussion focused on enhancing the efficiency of our financial system and stabilising the Naira.
“The meeting highlighted our continuous efforts in aligning monetary and fiscal policies, underscored by a commitment to the rule of law.
“The EFCC Chairman reaffirmed the Commission’s for these initiatives, emphasising his dedication to enhancing the integrity of financial regulations.”
This meeting comes amidst efforts to bridge the gap between the official and black market exchange rates, including this week’s EFCC raids on unauthorised foreign exchange operators.
Mr. Edun reiterated the government’s “commitment to the rule of law” as a cornerstone of achieving these objectives.
Speaking in a similar tone, Mr. Olukoyede, the EFCC Chairman, “pledged the Commission’s unwavering ” for these initiatives. He stressed the organisation’s dedication to enforcing financial regulations with integrity, and combating illegal activities threatening the financial system.
Governor Cardoso, leading the apex bank, expressed the CBN’s commitment to collaborate with the Ministry of Finance and the EFCC. He emphasised the importance of “coordinated efforts” in achieving their shared goals of economic stability and financial system efficiency.
An official of the Ministry of Finance told The Nation that “these meetings hold regularly where they try to coordinate fiscal and monetary policies to make sure there’s a strong coordinated handshake and they’re operating in sync whilst maintaining their independence.”
The source said while the CBN retains its grip on financial sector regulation, control of the transmission mechanisms and tools for setting the exchange rate, the macroeconomic strategy is driven by the minister.”
“The minister takes his coordinating role very seriously. He’s there to provide thoughts leadership, mentorship , intellectual and all of that.”
On further efforts to stabilise the Naira, the official said: “The CBN is putting things out and setting the market right. It’s all about macroeconomic stability, enhancing liquidity, deepening the capital market and making sure there’s access to capital for inclusive development.
“While challenges remain, the collaborative approach and commitment to the rule of law demonstrated by these leaders will pave the way for potential progress in strengthening the Naira and fostering a more robust financial system for the nation.
Naira sustains rally after apex bank’s intervention
With the naira now trading at N1,461.9/$ at the NAFEM window- official market, the spread between the official and parallel rates have converged, signaling rate unification.
Hassan Abdul, a BDC trader in Central Lagos, said the naira was traded for N1,400 to the dollar at about 1.00pm, but weakened to N1,440 to dollar at the close of business after dealers asked for higher to cover loss positions.
“The CBN policies in recent days have shaken up the market. We have seen a high volume dollar offload by speculators. But for that to be sustained, the apex bank needs to dollar injections into the official markets,” he said.
Banks are at the centre of forex market activities, with their action and inaction contributing significantly to market performance.
Observing that the banks were not living up to expectations, the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) last Wednesday issued new directives to shore up the value of the naira.
The banks were accused of hoarding over $5 billion by holding back funds expected to be injected into the official forex market.
Following the 4.25 per cent depreciation in the naira between January 29 and 31, the CBN has issued two complementary circulars to commercial banks and International Money Transfer Operators (IMTOs) to address price discovery and market distorting restrictions.
The first circular instructed banks to limit their net open position to 20 per cent of shareholders’ funds unimpaired by losses using the gross aggregate method to hedge forex losses while softening forex demand. Meanwhile, the circular to IMTOs instructed Deposit Money Banks to ensure that international transactions now occur at the prevailing market rate, thereby removing transaction pegs.
Previously, IMTOs were required to quote rates within an allowable limit of -2.5 per cent to +2.5 per cent around the previous day’s closing rate of the Nigerian foreign exchange market, according to the circular TED/FEM/PUB/FPC/001/009 dated September 13, last year.
All authorised dealers, International Money Transfer Operators, and the general public are advised to take note of this development and ensure compliance with the revised regulations. The CBN’s decision reflects ongoing efforts to adapt and enhance the dynamics of the Nigerian foreign exchange market, the circular stated.
“The reason for the removal of the cap is to incentivise the IMTOs to transparently transfer their receipt into the country,” Aminu Gwadabe, president, Association of Bureau De Change Operators of Nigeria (ABCON), disclosed.
The apex bank had also deployed examiners to Treasury Units of banks headquarters to ensure compliance with policy shifts.
The impact of the policy measures showed the naira rallying and correcting huge depreciation gaps across the official and parallel markets, leading to convergence in the forex market.
An economist and Managing Director, Financial Derivatives Company Limited, Bismarck Rewane, said the prevailing concern reverberating across the Nigerian economy is the downward spiral of the exchange rate.
According to him, weakened naira will result in imported inflation and erode the purchasing power of consumers.
He explained that over the course of 10 days, the currency shed 10.78 per cent of its value against the dollar before appreciating to N1,440/$ (parallel market) on February 2.
But through a sequence of circulars and a change in the methodology for computing FX rates, the CBN has reinstated its commitment to encouraging transparency with market reflective rates, reducing forex demand pressures, lifting restrictions on international transactions and improving dollar liquidity.
Rewane said that despite gradual rebound of the naira, the markets still show signs of disequilibrium and unanchored exchange rate expectations.
“The solution to the naira’s FX throes begins at the first MPC meeting since July 2023, scheduled for February 26-27. We expect a hawkish CBN, likely raising effective interest rates by 200 basis points to narrow the negative real rates of return, instill confidence and bring the FX markets to a correction,” he said.
The CBN removed the cap on the allowable limit of -2.5 per cent to +2.5 per cent around the previous day’s closing rate for the International Money Transfer Operators (IMTOs). This adjustment signifies a shift in the regulatory framework, providing IMTOs with more flexibility in determining exchange rates.
Apex bank overhauls Cash Reserve System
The apex bank has also effected a change in the last monetary policy decision – the Cash Reserve Requirement (CRR) system.
The CBN in a circular sent to all banks by the Acting Director Banking Supervision Dr. Adetona Adedeji said the new “Cash Reserve Requirement (CRR) mechanism is intended to facilitate your capacity for planning, monitoring, and aligning your records with the CBN.”
The move is designed to provide banks with more flexibility in managing their reserves while encouraging increased lending to businesses and individuals.
Previously, a fixed percentage of banks’ deposits, currently 32.5 per cent for commercial banks was automatically deducted daily by the CBN as CRR. This new system, however, adopts a phased approach with key changes.
In the first Phase which adopts an incremental approach, the existing CRR percentages (32.5 percent) will no longer be applied daily. Instead, they will be applied only to increases in banks’ weekly average adjusted deposits.
This means any new money received by banks, such as customer deposits, loan repayments, or other inflows, will have the designated CRR portion set aside as reserves. This approach offers banks greater flexibility in managing their overall liquidity and planning for future reserve needs.
The second Phase which promotes lending through Loan-to-Deposit Ratio (LDR) compliance introduces a dynamic element based on banks’ adherence to the minimum Loan-to-Deposit Ratio (LDR) currently set at 65 percent.
Banks that fail to meet the LDR target will face an additional 50 percent CRR on the “shortfall” in lending. This essentially increases their effective CRR, which in turn will affect their available funds for lending and encourage them to meet the LDR requirements.
Benefits and potential impacts of this new CRR system are that banks no longer face daily fluctuations in their reserves, allowing for better financial planning and stability. By encouraging banks to meet LDR targets, the CBN now aims to increase credit availability for businesses and individuals, potentially boosting economic activity.
However, it is too early to predict the exact impact on interest rates and loan availability, as market dynamics and individual bank strategies will now play a role.
The circular added that the CBN will provide details to banks on the applied CRR charges and their calculation rationale, ensuring transparency. The apex bank also noted that it will closely monitor the implementation of the new system and make adjustments as needed.
Exchange rate for cargo clearance raised to N1.356/$
The CBN also raised the exchange rate for cargo clearance from N952/$ to N1.356 per dollar.
The rate had been increased from N783/$ to N952/$ only last November and from N783/$ to N952/$ in December.
Don blames politicians for Naira free fall
United States (US)-based Nigerian academic, Dr Abdulmumini Y Ajia, claims some Nigerian politicians are largely responsible for the Naira free fall.
The control of the country’s foreign exchange flow by the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited (NNPCL) is also partly responsible for the problem, according to him
The Associate Professor of Business istration, Lincoln University, Missouri told The Nation in Ilorin, Kwara State, that many Nigerian politicians with free access to public funds are exposing the naira to undue assault.
The APC stalwart said: “Those politicians may not know what they are doing.
“When you take 100 or 200 million Naira to change to dollar you are inadvertently putting pressure on the dollar.
“People that are stockpiling the dollars without buying or selling goods are the reason we are in this mess.
“Another reason is that our foreign exchange flow is controlled by the NNPCL primarily because we have become a mono-economy.
Easy money is coming through the NNPCL, leading to opacity.
“Oil swap is yet another reason. President Bola Tinubu needs to close the gap with the politicians. They need to earn legitimate money.
“What we have in Nigeria is that few people have access to too much Naira and in turn go to the foreign exchange market to buy the dollar without using if for industrial purposes.
“When a genuine industrialist goes there to buy dollar, he will keep waiting for the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) forever. He wants his industry to run. He will buy it at the same rate. He will then transfer the cost to you and I.
“When middle income people see that the Naira can longer be used as a store of value, out of their meagre resources, they will take out of their resources to exchange for dollars at the parallel market and keep. Imagine if one million people do that. The ordinary folks will also the bandwagon. It is corruption that is killing this country.”
Managing the economy is more than fiscal and monetary manipulations. The key thing is productive economic activities.
- President Tinubu, please come back home sir. Nigeria needs a new economic foundation.
- Convoke a something like 'National Economic Conference' to develop a nationwide roap that will tap the economic potentials of geopolitical zones
- Set up a versatile economic think-tank and keep an open mind to their ideas. Look beyond Wale Edun and work with some crazy young minds to create out-of-box ideas for policies and programs.
- Develop short and long-term Economic and Development Plans and actively Implement it.
- Be positively strong-willed and don't sacrifice crucial things that MUST be done today for tomorrow's 2nd term. Nigerians will always appreciate positive results.
- Stimulate production in different aspects of the economy through incentives, make vital reforms of laws and processes, enthrone intentional concessions, etc.
- Move focus and relocate effort from attracting FDIs to encourage local industries, SMEs and entrepreneurs.
- Create more employments, boost local food production develop creative export drive strategies to earn forex.
Round these three dundees up and search their pockets while they "storm" their empty brains and you'll find some crispy Dollar or Pound sterling notes on them.
They still refuse to face reality and kiss the truth that the country's funeral arrangement is what is currently taking place.
Crude oil which used to be the country's major source of forex is currently no longer Nigeria's for the foreseeable future as it has been collateralized into the future against loans.
The creditors will keep lifting the crude for their country's use. One of the reasons Dangote had to source for his supply.
See their clueless faces..
Nigeria is multi-ethnic, yet, see the names of the people "brain-deading" to save it. How does this even make any sense to them?
Bring the policy on, and I as a different ethnic nationality and within the corridors of power will sabotage and ensure it doesn't see the light of day, no matter how lofty and nationalistic the plans are.
This is the true story of Nigeria.
Baba hit ground, ground collapse na so him take off say "una fada".
Insightful. Thank you for sharing OP.
In the next couple of weeks, I believe that the current strategy will bring great positive results.
God bless Nigeria for ever!Check my signature for free stuffs!
Brainstorming to block the loopholes that agents of corruption and retrogression use to shortchange the system. In a country where banks were holding up $50billion in excesses for speculative purposes. A country with large deposits of Uranium yet the citizens take dollars to import phone and car batteries from the Chinese who come here to mine away our uranium. In a country where we have leather in abundance yet the people import shoes, a country blessed with textile but her people waste dollars importing fake fabrics. A country with crude at its backyard yet import fuel with subsidy. So much importation of junks and fake products with scarce resources while the local industries are left to rot. A country on self destruct peopled by the most greedy of human species.
During Tinubu's inauguration, witches all over the nation gathered and said they are the one installing him. It was not hidden. They flagged him as their product.
• FG raises exchange rate for cargo clearance to N1,356/$
There is a common misconception among people that only the Igbos are involved in importing goods into the country. This misconception might be fueling targeted policies that are intended to discourage or regulate the importation of goods into the country by Igbos.
However, it is important to note that such policies may have unintended consequences, such as creating more billionaires of Igbo extraction who have the resources and expertise to navigate the complexities of the importation business. Ultimately, it is important to have policies that are fair and equitable to all citizens, regardless of their ethnic or regional affiliations.
After now. What happens? We must deal with kakistocracy in our democracy. We must stop having the least suitable in power.
Dictionary
Definitions from Oxford Languages · Learn more
kakistocracy
/kakɪˈstɒkrəsi/
noun
government by the least suitable or competent citizens of a state.
"the danger is that this will reduce us to kakistocracy"
a state or society governed by its least suitable or competent citizens.
plural noun: kakistocracies
"the modern regime is at once a plutocracy and a kakistocracy"
The problem of the black man is selfishness. Nigerians think of themselves first and care less about the collective state of the nation.
The president is the least problem of Nigeria.
Nigerians are bad and wicked.
A lot of shady dealings by private sectors, high placed individuals and even ordinary people without name.
A reasearch revealed that Nigerian paracetamol is only about 200mg instead of 500mg. The rest is chalk. Nigerians pay China and others to produce substandard goods including drugs for their fellow Nigerians. Oyinbos are wicked but will never do things at the detriment of their country or people.
Part of the demonic attitude of Nigerians is being happy and praying for the country to fail because your preferred candidate isn't in power.
You deserve what you get for being wicked people.
There is nothing that can be done..I would have suggested that he reversed the policy of floating the naira...but it's obvious that won't work ..and even the naira isn't floating as the CBN still manipulate it ..same with speculators..
